Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/08, 20:30

Prediction: Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Tucuman Central

Team pages: Defensores Puerto Vilelas · Tucuman Central

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Defensores Puerto Vilelas1.46
Tucuman Central0.92
1X2
49% 28% 23%
Defensores Puerto Vilelas Draw Tucuman Central
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWWLWD
Tucuman Central 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLDLD
Head-to-head
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1–1 Tucuman Central (2 last)
  • Tucuman Central2-0Defensores Puerto Vilelas
  • Defensores Puerto Vilelas1-0Tucuman Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1514 · Tucuman Central 1437
Defensores Puerto VilelasDrawTucuman Central
Our model48%29%23%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensores Puerto Vilelas (rating 1514 vs 1437).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Defensores Puerto VilelasTucuman Central
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.30.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.72.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.25.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 101 Tucuman Central

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Tucuman Central2-0
HT 0-0
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
28/03/26
Argentina Torneo A
Defensores Puerto Vilelas1-0
HT 1-0
Tucuman Central

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boca Unidos 2110 414
1 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 2110 414
3 Club Atlético El Linqueño 2110 314
4 Gimnasia y Esgrima 1100 403
5 Escobar FC 2101 133
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 1010 111
7 Sportivo Las Parejas 2011 021
8 Tucuman Central 2011 151
9 Sarmiento de Resistencia 2002 150

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDefensores Puerto VilelasTucuman Central
Sarmiento de Resistencia 4-1 W 0-1 L
CA Bartolome Mitre 0-1 L 0-1 L
CA Sarmiento de la Banda 3-0 W 1-1 D
Juventud Antoniana 0-4 L 1-3 L
Sol de America de Formosa 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Defensores Puerto Vilelas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores Puerto Vilelas

LWLWLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 31 D
03/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 4-1 35 W
23/07 Central Benitez
Argentina Regional League
0-1 0-2 83 L
18/07 CSD Fontana
Argentina Regional League
2-2 4-2 47 W
14/07 Resistencia Central
Argentina Regional League
0-0 2-0 34 W
12/07 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 13 L
04/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 34 W
28/06 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 0-4 L
21/06 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 2-1 41 W
14/06 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-2 42 L

Tucuman Central

LWLWLLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 117 D
02/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 52 L
26/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/07 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-3 15 L
05/07 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 86 L
28/06 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 34 L
21/06 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 33 W
07/06 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-3 09 L
31/05 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 76 W
25/05 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 107 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Tucuman Central?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (49%). Probabilities: Defensores Puerto Vilelas 49%, draw 28%, Tucuman Central 23%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Tucuman Central?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Defensores Puerto Vilelas 1.46 · Tucuman Central 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Tucuman Central?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.