Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/08, 20:30
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Douglas Haig
Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano VR · CA Douglas Haig
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Defensores de Belgrano VR1.23
CA Douglas Haig0.96
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Draw
CA Douglas Haig
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano VR
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CA Douglas Haig
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–3–2
CA Douglas Haig
(6 last)
- Defensores de Belgrano VR1-0CA Douglas Haig
- CA Douglas Haig3-2Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR1-1CA Douglas Haig
- CA Douglas Haig2-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR1-1CA Douglas Haig
- CA Douglas Haig0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1521 · CA Douglas Haig 1478
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | Draw | CA Douglas Haig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensores de Belgrano VR (rating 1521 vs 1478).
- H2H favours CA Douglas Haig: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | CA Douglas Haig | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1–3–2 CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 05/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 08/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 HT 1-1 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sol de America de Formosa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | CA Douglas Haig | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano VR | CA Douglas Haig |
|---|---|---|
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Escobar FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Defensores de Belgrano VR (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Douglas Haig?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano VR win (41%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano VR 41%, draw 31%, CA Douglas Haig 28%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Douglas Haig?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Defensores de Belgrano VR 1.23 · CA Douglas Haig 0.96), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Douglas Haig?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.