Football · Argentina Torneo A · 12/08, 19:00

Prediction: Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de Resistencia

Team pages: Independiente Chivilcoy · Sarmiento de Resistencia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Independiente Chivilcoy1.41
Sarmiento de Resistencia0.61
1X2
56% 28% 16%
Independiente Chivilcoy Draw Sarmiento de Resistencia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Chivilcoy 0-7-3 (W-D-L)
DDDDLLDLDD
Sarmiento de Resistencia 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWLWLL
Head-to-head
Independiente Chivilcoy 0–1–0 Sarmiento de Resistencia (1 last)
  • Sarmiento de Resistencia1-1Independiente Chivilcoy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Chivilcoy 1460 · Sarmiento de Resistencia 1449
Independiente ChivilcoyDrawSarmiento de Resistencia
Our model55%30%15%
Market57%27%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Independiente ChivilcoySarmiento de Resistencia
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.30.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.60.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.22 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.53.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Chivilcoy 010 Sarmiento de Resistencia

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/09/24
Argentina Torneo A
Sarmiento de Resistencia1-1
HT 1-0
Independiente Chivilcoy

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boca Unidos 2110 414
1 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 2110 414
3 Club Atlético El Linqueño 2110 314
4 Gimnasia y Esgrima 1100 403
5 Escobar FC 2101 133
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 1010 111
7 Sportivo Las Parejas 2011 021
8 Tucuman Central 2011 151
9 Sarmiento de Resistencia 2002 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIndependiente ChivilcoySarmiento de Resistencia
Boca Unidos 1-1 D 0-2 L
Escobar FC 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Chivilcoy (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente Chivilcoy

DDDDLLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 38 D
26/07 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 54 D
12/07 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 58 L
05/07 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 42 D
28/06 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 41 L
21/06 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 211 L
14/06 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 33 D
07/06 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 26 D
31/05 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 2-2 45 D
24/05 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 01 D

Sarmiento de Resistencia

LLLWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 22 L
03/08 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-4 65 L
26/07 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-1 61 W
05/07 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 46 L
28/06 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 24 W
21/06 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-3 23 L
14/06 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 42 W
06/06 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-2 14 L
31/05 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 104 L
23/05 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de Resistencia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Chivilcoy win (56%). Probabilities: Independiente Chivilcoy 56%, draw 28%, Sarmiento de Resistencia 16%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de Resistencia?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Independiente Chivilcoy 1.41 · Sarmiento de Resistencia 0.61), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de Resistencia?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.