Football · Argentina Torneo A · 02/08, 21:00

Prediction: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Douglas Haig

Team pages: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela · CA Douglas Haig

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1.35

CA Douglas Haig1.01

1X2

43% 31% 27%

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Draw CA Douglas Haig

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWWLLL

CA Douglas Haig 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDWDLW

Head-to-head

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 4–2 CA Douglas Haig (6 last)

CA Douglas Haig2-1CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-0CA Douglas Haig
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-1CA Douglas Haig
CA Douglas Haig0-1CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela0-1CA Douglas Haig
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela4-0CA Douglas Haig

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1471 · CA Douglas Haig 1472

	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	Draw	CA Douglas Haig
Our model	43%	30%	27%
Market	43%	31%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	CA Douglas Haig
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.8	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.7	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X2.90

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:16 +6’	2.10	2.90	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 4–0–2 CA Douglas Haig

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	2-1 HT 1-0	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2-0 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
14/09/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2-1 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
29/06/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	0-1 HT 0-0	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
27/04/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Douglas Haig
19/05/24 Argentina Torneo A	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	4-0 HT 2-0	CA Douglas Haig

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Bartolome Mitre	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Douglas Haig	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sol de America de Formosa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Defensores de Belgrano VR	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Belgrano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	San Martin Formosa	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	CA Douglas Haig
Defensores de Belgrano VR	1-2 L	0-1 L
Gimnasia y Esgrima	0-3 L	0-0 D
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	2-1 W	0-2 L
Club Atlético El Linqueño	3-2 W	0-2 L
Escobar FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Sportivo Las Parejas	2-2 D	0-0 D
Independiente Chivilcoy	2-2 D	4-0 W
Sportivo Belgrano	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CA Douglas Haig (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

WLDDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
13/07	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
05/07	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/06	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
23/06	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	2-1	3-2	3	1	W
13/06	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-2	0-2	1	5	L
07/06	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-2	2	8	D
31/05	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
24/05	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
17/05	CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W

CA Douglas Haig

LLDLLDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
11/07	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
05/07	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
28/06	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	2-0	4-0	2	1	W
20/06	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
14/06	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
07/06	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
31/05	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/05	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
17/05	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Douglas Haig?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (43%). Probabilities: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 43%, draw 31%, CA Douglas Haig 27%.

How many goals are expected in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Douglas Haig?

The model expects 2.36 goals (CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.35 · CA Douglas Haig 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Douglas Haig?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.