Football · Chile Segunda · 24/10, 21:00

Prediction: Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Linares

Team pages: Provincial Osorno · Deportes Linares

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Provincial Osorno1.57

Deportes Linares1.06

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Provincial Osorno Draw Deportes Linares

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Provincial Osorno 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDLLLW

Deportes Linares 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLWLW

Head-to-head

Provincial Osorno 1–2–3 Deportes Linares (6 last)

Deportes Linares1-0Provincial Osorno
Provincial Osorno1-1Deportes Linares
Deportes Linares0-1Provincial Osorno
Provincial Osorno2-2Deportes Linares
Deportes Linares1-0Provincial Osorno
Deportes Linares3-1Provincial Osorno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Provincial Osorno 1503 · Deportes Linares 1542

	Provincial Osorno	Draw	Deportes Linares
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	48%	27%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportes Linares: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Provincial Osorno	Deportes Linares
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	5.5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.30

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 16:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.85▼	Bet365 1.85
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Pinn 4.21 ★
2	2.90 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 17.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:02 +18’	2.15	3.25	2.90
22:49 +15’	2.05▼	3.25	3.00▲
06:08 +5’	1.95▼	3.25	3.30▲
12:02 +6’	2.25▲	3.20▼	2.80▼
16:41 +2’	1.85▼	3.30▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:11 +9’	2.17	3.31	2.92
22:12 +52’	2.00▼	3.42▲	3.20▲
12:05 +3’	2.45▲	3.43▲	2.32▼
14:18 +144’	1.79▼	4.21▲	2.66▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Provincial Osorno 1–2–3 Deportes Linares

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Chile Segunda	Deportes Linares	1-0 HT 0-0	Provincial Osorno
06/06/26 Chile Segunda	Provincial Osorno	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportes Linares
11/04/26 Chile Segunda	Deportes Linares	0-1 HT 0-0	Provincial Osorno
30/08/25 Chile Segunda	Provincial Osorno	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportes Linares
18/04/25 Chile Segunda	Deportes Linares	1-0 HT 1-0	Provincial Osorno
14/09/24 Chile Segunda	Deportes Linares	3-1 HT 0-0	Provincial Osorno

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportes Linares	7	4	1	2	11	11	13
2	Santiago City	6	3	2	1	10	6	11
3	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	7	2	3	2	14	11	9
4	Concon National	7	3	0	4	8	11	9
5	Brujas de Salamanca	5	3	0	2	5	6	9
6	Colchagua CD	7	2	1	4	5	6	7
7	Provincial Osorno	7	2	1	4	8	10	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Provincial Osorno	Deportes Linares
Concon National	3-1 W	1-3 L
Colchagua CD	0-2 L	1-0 W
Santiago City	1-2 L	1-1 D
Brujas de Salamanca	1-2 L	0-2 L
CD Trasandino de Los Andes	2-2 D	5-4 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Linares (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Provincial Osorno

DWDWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Concon National Chile Segunda	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
04/10	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
13/09	Santiago City Chile Segunda	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
06/09	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
29/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	2-1	2-2	7	3	D
16/08	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	6	10	L
08/08	Concon National Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
12/07	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
04/07	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/06	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Deportes Linares

WWWWWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	2-2	5-4	5	7	W
04/10	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
05/09	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
29/08	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-0	1-3	5	6	L
22/08	Santiago City Chile Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
16/08	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	10	W
10/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
12/07	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
28/06	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
20/06	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-0	3-1	12	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Linares?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Provincial Osorno win (48%). Probabilities: Provincial Osorno 48%, draw 27%, Deportes Linares 25%.

How many goals are expected in Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Linares?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Provincial Osorno 1.57 · Deportes Linares 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Linares?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.