Football · Chile Segunda · 31/10, 21:00

Prediction: Concon National vs Brujas de Salamanca

Team pages: Concon National · Brujas de Salamanca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Concon National1.13

Brujas de Salamanca1.1

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Concon National Draw Brujas de Salamanca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Concon National 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLWLL

Brujas de Salamanca 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Concon National 3–3 Brujas de Salamanca (6 last)

Brujas de Salamanca0-2Concon National
Brujas de Salamanca1-0Concon National
Concon National0-1Brujas de Salamanca
Concon National0-2Brujas de Salamanca
Brujas de Salamanca2-3Concon National
Concon National4-2Brujas de Salamanca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Concon National 1465 · Brujas de Salamanca 1524

	Concon National	Draw	Brujas de Salamanca
Our model	35%	32%	34%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brujas de Salamanca (rating 1465 vs 1524).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Concon National	Brujas de Salamanca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	3.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.7	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.46
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.13
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.69 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:51 +7’	2.45	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:29 +11’	2.46	3.13	2.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Concon National 3–0–3 Brujas de Salamanca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Chile Segunda	Brujas de Salamanca	0-2 HT 0-1	Concon National
05/07/26 Chile Segunda	Brujas de Salamanca	1-0 HT 1-0	Concon National
03/05/26 Chile Segunda	Concon National	0-1 HT 0-1	Brujas de Salamanca
25/10/25 Chile Segunda	Concon National	0-2 HT 0-1	Brujas de Salamanca
25/05/25 Chile Segunda	Brujas de Salamanca	2-3 HT 0-0	Concon National
08/07/23 Chile Tercera	Concon National	4-2 HT 1-2	Brujas de Salamanca

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportes Linares	9	5	1	3	12	12	16
2	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	8	3	3	2	17	12	12
3	Santiago City	8	3	3	2	12	9	12
4	Brujas de Salamanca	6	3	1	2	7	8	10
5	Provincial Osorno	8	3	1	4	9	10	10
6	Concon National	8	3	0	5	9	14	9
7	Colchagua CD	7	2	1	4	5	6	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Concon National	Brujas de Salamanca
CD Trasandino de Los Andes	1-3 L	0-3 L
Provincial Osorno	1-3 L	2-1 W
Colchagua CD	1-0 W	1-0 W
Santiago City	0-3 L	2-2 D
Deportes Linares	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brujas de Salamanca (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Concon National

LWLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
10/10	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
13/09	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
05/09	Santiago City Chile Segunda	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	0-0	3-1	4	6	W
22/08	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
16/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	1-0	1-3	6	9	L
08/08	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
11/07	Santiago City Chile Segunda	1-2	4-2	7	3	W
05/07	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Brujas de Salamanca

DWWLWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Santiago City Chile Segunda	2-1	2-2	12	6	D
04/10	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
26/09	Santiago City Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
12/09	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	0-3	2	4	L
06/09	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	2-1	12	6	W
02/09	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
22/08	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
11/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
05/07	Concon National Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
28/06	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Concon National vs Brujas de Salamanca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Concon National win (36%). Probabilities: Concon National 36%, draw 30%, Brujas de Salamanca 34%.

How many goals are expected in Concon National vs Brujas de Salamanca?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Concon National 1.13 · Brujas de Salamanca 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Concon National vs Brujas de Salamanca?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.