Football · Chile Segunda · 31/10, 21:00

Prediction: General Velásquez vs CD Rengo Unido

Team pages: General Velásquez · CD Rengo Unido

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

General Velásquez1.58

CD Rengo Unido1.25

1X2

44% 27% 29%

General Velásquez Draw CD Rengo Unido

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

General Velásquez 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDDLLW

CD Rengo Unido 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWDWWL

Head-to-head

General Velásquez 1–2–3 CD Rengo Unido (6 last)

CD Rengo Unido1-1General Velásquez
General Velásquez2-0CD Rengo Unido
CD Rengo Unido3-1General Velásquez
CD Rengo Unido1-1General Velásquez
General Velásquez0-1CD Rengo Unido
General Velásquez0-4CD Rengo Unido

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · General Velásquez 1479 · CD Rengo Unido 1557

	General Velásquez	Draw	CD Rengo Unido
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Rengo Unido (rating 1479 vs 1557).
H2H favours CD Rengo Unido: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	General Velásquez	CD Rengo Unido
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.8	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.50 ★
2	2.88 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +46’	2.15	3.30	2.88
22:25 +15’	2.05▼	3.30	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:29 +11’	2.02	3.50	3.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · General Velásquez 1–2–3 CD Rengo Unido

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-1 HT 0-0	General Velásquez
12/07/26 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	2-0 HT 0-0	CD Rengo Unido
09/05/26 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	3-1 HT 1-1	General Velásquez
09/11/25 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-1 HT 1-0	General Velásquez
01/06/25 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Rengo Unido
04/08/24 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	0-4 HT 0-1	CD Rengo Unido

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Rengo Unido	8	5	2	1	18	12	17
2	Lota Schwager	8	4	2	2	14	7	14
3	Santiago Morning	8	1	6	1	9	9	9
4	General Velásquez	8	2	3	3	9	11	9
5	Provincial Ovalle	7	2	2	3	6	10	8
6	AC Colina	8	2	2	4	7	9	8
7	Real Juventud San Joaquin	7	1	3	3	8	13	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	General Velásquez	CD Rengo Unido
Provincial Ovalle	2-1 W	5-1 W
Lota Schwager	1-2 L	1-5 L
AC Colina	2-3 L	2-1 W
Santiago Morning	0-0 D	2-2 D
Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-1 D	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Rengo Unido (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

General Velásquez

DLLWDDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
11/10	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
04/10	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-1	2-3	1	5	L
12/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
06/09	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
22/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
16/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
01/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
26/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	10	D

CD Rengo Unido

WLWWDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-3	1-5	2	4	L
11/10	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
03/10	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	2-0	5-1	2	7	W
06/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	2-0	2-2	9	5	D
31/08	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	4-1	5-2	5	7	W
22/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
16/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
08/08	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
12/07	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
04/07	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-1	3-1	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in General Velásquez vs CD Rengo Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a General Velásquez win (44%). Probabilities: General Velásquez 44%, draw 27%, CD Rengo Unido 29%.

How many goals are expected in General Velásquez vs CD Rengo Unido?

The model expects 2.83 goals (General Velásquez 1.58 · CD Rengo Unido 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in General Velásquez vs CD Rengo Unido?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.