Football · Chile Segunda · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: Lota Schwager vs CD Rengo Unido

Team pages: Lota Schwager · CD Rengo Unido

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Lota Schwager1.48

CD Rengo Unido1.16

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Lota Schwager Draw CD Rengo Unido

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Lota Schwager 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDDLWW

CD Rengo Unido 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Lota Schwager 0–1–3 CD Rengo Unido (4 last)

CD Rengo Unido1-0Lota Schwager
CD Rengo Unido1-1Lota Schwager
Lota Schwager0-1CD Rengo Unido
CD Rengo Unido1-0Lota Schwager

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lota Schwager 1515 · CD Rengo Unido 1566

	Lota Schwager	Draw	CD Rengo Unido
Our model	43%	28%	28%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Rengo Unido (rating 1515 vs 1566).
H2H favours CD Rengo Unido: 3-1-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lota Schwager	CD Rengo Unido
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.8	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.7	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +45’	2.05	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lota Schwager 0–1–3 CD Rengo Unido

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-0 HT 1-0	Lota Schwager
06/06/26 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-1 HT 0-0	Lota Schwager
16/05/26 Chile Segunda	Lota Schwager	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Rengo Unido
29/05/22 Chile Tercera	CD Rengo Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Lota Schwager

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Rengo Unido	7	5	2	0	17	7	17
2	Lota Schwager	7	3	2	2	9	6	11
3	Santiago Morning	7	1	5	1	8	8	8
4	Provincial Ovalle	6	2	2	2	5	8	8
5	AC Colina	7	2	1	4	6	8	7
6	General Velásquez	7	1	3	3	7	10	6
7	Real Juventud San Joaquin	7	1	3	3	8	13	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lota Schwager	CD Rengo Unido
General Velásquez	2-1 W	1-1 D
Real Juventud San Joaquin	2-0 W	5-2 W
Provincial Ovalle	1-2 L	5-1 W
AC Colina	0-0 D	2-1 W
Santiago Morning	1-1 D	2-2 D
Colchagua CD	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Rengo Unido (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lota Schwager

LWDWLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	1-1	2-1	12	4	W
03/10	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
26/09	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-2	1-2	7	9	L
29/08	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
22/08	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	2-1	3-1	6	7	W
12/07	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-0	2-2	10	7	D
05/07	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	2-0	2	10	W
28/06	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	1-2	1-2	4	6	L

CD Rengo Unido

LWLWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
03/10	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	2-0	5-1	2	7	W
06/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	2-0	2-2	9	5	D
31/08	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	4-1	5-2	5	7	W
22/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
16/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
08/08	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
12/07	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
04/07	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
27/06	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lota Schwager vs CD Rengo Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lota Schwager win (44%). Probabilities: Lota Schwager 44%, draw 27%, CD Rengo Unido 29%.

How many goals are expected in Lota Schwager vs CD Rengo Unido?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Lota Schwager 1.48 · CD Rengo Unido 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lota Schwager vs CD Rengo Unido?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.