Football · Chile Segunda · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: AC Colina vs Santiago Morning

Team pages: AC Colina · Santiago Morning

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
AC Colina1.22
Santiago Morning0.9
1X2
42% 31% 26%
AC Colina Draw Santiago Morning
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Colina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLLDLWWL
Santiago Morning 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DLLDWDDDDL
Head-to-head
AC Colina 1–2 Santiago Morning (3 last)
  • Santiago Morning2-1AC Colina
  • AC Colina1-0Santiago Morning
  • AC Colina1-3Santiago Morning
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Colina 1485 · Santiago Morning 1470
AC ColinaDrawSantiago Morning
Our model42%32%26%
Market43%31%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Santiago Morning: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC ColinaSantiago Morning
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.32.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.55.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Colina 1–0–2 Santiago Morning

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/08/26
Chile Segunda
Santiago Morning2-1
HT 1-1
AC Colina
15/06/21
Chile Cup
AC Colina1-0
HT 1-0
Santiago Morning
23/03/19
Chile Cup
AC Colina1-3
HT 0-1
Santiago Morning

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Rengo Unido 7520 17717
2 Lota Schwager 7322 9611
3 Santiago Morning 7151 888
4 Provincial Ovalle 6222 588
5 AC Colina 7214 687
6 General Velásquez 7133 7106
7 Real Juventud San Joaquin 7133 8136

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC ColinaSantiago Morning
CD Rengo Unido 1-2 L 2-2 D
General Velásquez 3-2 W 0-0 D
Real Juventud San Joaquin 1-0 W 1-2 L
Provincial Ovalle 0-1 L 0-0 D
Lota Schwager 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 4 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Colina

DLWLLDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-2 88 L
04/10 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-2 95 W
27/09 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 69 W
07/09 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 36 L
29/08 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 76 D
17/08 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 24 L
08/08 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 66 L
12/07 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
2-0 5-1 52 W
04/07 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 58 L
27/06 Concon National
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-1 27 D

Santiago Morning

DLLDWDDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
1-2 1-2 1210 L
12/09 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 67 D
06/09 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-2 2-2 55 D
30/08 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 44 D
22/08 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-1 1-1 –– D
17/08 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
1-1 2-1 24 W
10/08 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
2-1 2-2 46 D
04/07 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-3 46 L
28/06 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 75 L
21/06 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 58 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Colina vs Santiago Morning?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Colina win (42%). Probabilities: AC Colina 42%, draw 31%, Santiago Morning 26%.

How many goals are expected in AC Colina vs Santiago Morning?

The model expects 2.13 goals (AC Colina 1.22 · Santiago Morning 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Colina vs Santiago Morning?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.