Football · Chile Segunda · 07/11, 22:00

Prediction: CD Rengo Unido vs Real Juventud San Joaquin

Team pages: CD Rengo Unido · Real Juventud San Joaquin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

CD Rengo Unido1.62

Real Juventud San Joaquin1.76

1X2

34% 26% 40%

CD Rengo Unido Draw Real Juventud San Joaquin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Rengo Unido 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWWLL

Real Juventud San Joaquin 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDLLWD

Head-to-head

CD Rengo Unido 5–1 Real Juventud San Joaquin (6 last)

Real Juventud San Joaquin2-5CD Rengo Unido
CD Rengo Unido1-2Real Juventud San Joaquin
CD Rengo Unido1-0Real Juventud San Joaquin
CD Rengo Unido1-0Real Juventud San Joaquin
Real Juventud San Joaquin0-1CD Rengo Unido
CD Rengo Unido2-0Real Juventud San Joaquin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Rengo Unido 1535 · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1448

	CD Rengo Unido	Draw	Real Juventud San Joaquin
Our model	35%	25%	41%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Rengo Unido (rating 1535 vs 1448).
H2H favours CD Rengo Unido: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Rengo Unido	Real Juventud San Joaquin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	6.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.49
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.51 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
16:08 +10’	2.63	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:19 +7’	2.25	3.40	2.78
18:05 +85’	2.41▲	3.49▲	2.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Rengo Unido 5–0–1 Real Juventud San Joaquin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/26 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	2-5 HT 1-4	CD Rengo Unido
24/08/25 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-2 HT 0-1	Real Juventud San Joaquin
07/04/25 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-0 HT 1-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin
07/09/24 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin
28/04/24 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Rengo Unido
23/07/23 Chile Segunda	CD Rengo Unido	2-0 HT 1-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lota Schwager	9	5	2	2	18	8	17
2	CD Rengo Unido	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
3	General Velásquez	9	3	3	3	10	11	12
4	Santiago Morning	9	1	6	2	10	13	9
5	Provincial Ovalle	8	2	3	3	7	11	9
6	AC Colina	8	2	2	4	7	9	8
7	Real Juventud San Joaquin	8	1	4	3	9	14	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Rengo Unido	Real Juventud San Joaquin
General Velásquez	0-1 L	1-1 D
Lota Schwager	1-5 L	0-2 L
AC Colina	2-1 W	0-1 L
Provincial Ovalle	5-1 W	1-1 D
Santiago Morning	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Juventud San Joaquin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Rengo Unido

LWWDWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
24/10	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-3	1-5	2	4	L
11/10	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
03/10	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	2-0	5-1	2	7	W
06/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	2-0	2-2	9	5	D
31/08	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	4-1	5-2	5	7	W
22/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
16/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
08/08	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
12/07	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	3	L

Real Juventud San Joaquin

LLDDLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
11/10	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	2-1	2-1	1	10	W
03/10	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
27/09	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
06/09	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
31/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-4	2-5	4	7	L
22/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
10/08	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
12/07	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-2	1-5	11	2	L
05/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	1-2	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Rengo Unido vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Juventud San Joaquin win (40%). Probabilities: CD Rengo Unido 34%, draw 26%, Real Juventud San Joaquin 40%.

How many goals are expected in CD Rengo Unido vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?

The model expects 3.38 goals (CD Rengo Unido 1.62 · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1.76), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Rengo Unido vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.