Football · Chile Segunda · 14/11, 22:00
Prediction: Concon National vs Santiago City
Team pages: Concon National · Santiago City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Concon National1.33
Santiago City1.55
1X2
Concon National
Draw
Santiago City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Concon National
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Santiago City
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Concon National
2–1–3
Santiago City
(6 last)
- Santiago City3-0Concon National
- Concon National4-2Santiago City
- Santiago City1-1Concon National
- Santiago City4-2Concon National
- Concon National5-0Santiago City
- Santiago City5-2Concon National
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Concon National 1481 · Santiago City 1506
| Concon National | Draw | Santiago City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Santiago City: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Concon National | Santiago City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 4.7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Concon National 2–1–3 Santiago City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Chile Segunda | Santiago City | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Concon National |
| 11/07/26 Chile Segunda | Concon National | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Santiago City |
| 09/05/26 Chile Segunda | Santiago City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Concon National |
| 07/09/25 Chile Segunda | Santiago City | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Concon National |
| 13/04/25 Chile Segunda | Concon National | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Santiago City |
| 22/09/23 Chile Tercera | Santiago City | 5-2 HT 1-0 | Concon National |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Deportes Linares | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Santiago City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Concon National | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 5 | Brujas de Salamanca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | Colchagua CD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Provincial Osorno | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Concon National | Santiago City |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Linares | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Brujas de Salamanca | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Provincial Osorno | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Colchagua CD | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Concon National
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/10 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
Santiago City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 25/10 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 03/10 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Concon National vs Santiago City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Santiago City win (42%). Probabilities: Concon National 32%, draw 27%, Santiago City 42%.
How many goals are expected in Concon National vs Santiago City?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Concon National 1.33 · Santiago City 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Concon National vs Santiago City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.