Football · Chile Segunda · 14/11, 22:00

Prediction: Real Juventud San Joaquin vs General Velásquez

Team pages: Real Juventud San Joaquin · General Velásquez

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Real Juventud San Joaquin1.43

General Velásquez1.24

1X2

41% 28% 32%

Real Juventud San Joaquin Draw General Velásquez

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Juventud San Joaquin 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLLWDD

General Velásquez 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLLWW

Head-to-head

Real Juventud San Joaquin 1–3–2 General Velásquez (6 last)

General Velásquez1-1Real Juventud San Joaquin
General Velásquez2-1Real Juventud San Joaquin
Real Juventud San Joaquin1-2General Velásquez
Real Juventud San Joaquin1-1General Velásquez
General Velásquez1-1Real Juventud San Joaquin
Real Juventud San Joaquin2-0General Velásquez

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1464 · General Velásquez 1492

	Real Juventud San Joaquin	Draw	General Velásquez
Our model	40%	28%	31%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours General Velásquez: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Juventud San Joaquin	General Velásquez
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.47
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.14 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +14’	2.20	3.30	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:28 +8’	2.03	3.47	3.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1–3–2 General Velásquez

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin
26/10/25 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	2-1 HT 2-1	Real Juventud San Joaquin
25/05/25 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-2 HT 1-0	General Velásquez
14/07/24 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-1 HT 1-1	General Velásquez
03/03/24 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin
14/10/23 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	2-0 HT 0-0	General Velásquez

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lota Schwager	10	6	2	2	20	9	20
2	CD Rengo Unido	10	5	3	2	21	16	18
3	General Velásquez	9	3	3	3	10	11	12
4	Provincial Ovalle	9	3	3	3	9	12	12
5	Santiago Morning	10	1	6	3	11	15	9
6	AC Colina	9	2	2	5	8	11	8
7	Real Juventud San Joaquin	9	1	5	3	12	17	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Juventud San Joaquin	General Velásquez
CD Rengo Unido	3-3 D	1-0 W
Provincial Ovalle	1-1 D	2-1 W
Santiago Morning	2-1 W	0-0 D
Lota Schwager	0-2 L	1-2 L
AC Colina	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: General Velásquez (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Juventud San Joaquin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-1	3-3	5	5	D
01/11	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
11/10	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	2-1	2-1	1	10	W
03/10	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
27/09	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
06/09	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
31/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-4	2-5	4	7	L
22/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
10/08	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
12/07	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-2	1-5	11	2	L

General Velásquez

LLWDDDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
24/10	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
11/10	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
04/10	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-1	2-3	1	5	L
12/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
06/09	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
22/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
16/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
01/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs General Velásquez?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Juventud San Joaquin win (41%). Probabilities: Real Juventud San Joaquin 41%, draw 28%, General Velásquez 32%.

How many goals are expected in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs General Velásquez?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Real Juventud San Joaquin 1.43 · General Velásquez 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs General Velásquez?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.