Football · Chile Segunda · 08/11, 21:00

Prediction: Lota Schwager vs AC Colina

Team pages: Lota Schwager · AC Colina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Lota Schwager1.54
AC Colina1.21
1X2
44% 27% 29%
Lota Schwager Draw AC Colina
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lota Schwager 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDDLWWWW
AC Colina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLDLWWLD
Head-to-head
Lota Schwager 0–1–2 AC Colina (3 last)
  • AC Colina0-0Lota Schwager
  • AC Colina2-1Lota Schwager
  • Lota Schwager0-1AC Colina
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lota Schwager 1562 · AC Colina 1484
Lota SchwagerDrawAC Colina
Our model44%28%29%
Market44%27%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lota Schwager (rating 1562 vs 1484).
  • H2H favours AC Colina: 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lota SchwagerAC Colina
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 11.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 6.42.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.85.5 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lota Schwager 0–1–2 AC Colina

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/26
Chile Segunda
AC Colina0-0
HT 0-0
Lota Schwager
18/10/25
Chile Tercera
AC Colina2-1
HT 1-0
Lota Schwager
28/06/25
Chile Tercera
Lota Schwager0-1
HT 0-0
AC Colina

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Rengo Unido 10532 211618
2 Lota Schwager 9522 18817
3 General Velásquez 9333 101112
4 Santiago Morning 9162 10139
5 Provincial Ovalle 8233 7119
6 AC Colina 8224 798
7 Real Juventud San Joaquin 9153 12178

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLota SchwagerAC Colina
Santiago Morning 4-1 W 1-1 D
CD Rengo Unido 5-1 W 1-2 L
General Velásquez 2-1 W 3-2 W
Real Juventud San Joaquin 2-0 W 1-0 W
Provincial Ovalle 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lota Schwager (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lota Schwager

DWLDDLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
1-1 4-1 05 W
24/10 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
3-0 5-1 34 W
11/10 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
1-1 2-1 124 W
03/10 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
0-0 2-0 56 W
26/09 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
0-2 1-2 79 L
29/08 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/08 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 –– D
16/08 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-1 97 L
08/08 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
2-1 3-1 67 W
12/07 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
0-0 2-2 107 D

AC Colina

LWLLDLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
0-1 1-1 66 D
11/10 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-2 88 L
04/10 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-2 95 W
27/09 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 69 W
07/09 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 36 L
29/08 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 76 D
17/08 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 24 L
08/08 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 66 L
12/07 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
2-0 5-1 52 W
04/07 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 58 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lota Schwager vs AC Colina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lota Schwager win (44%). Probabilities: Lota Schwager 44%, draw 27%, AC Colina 29%.

How many goals are expected in Lota Schwager vs AC Colina?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Lota Schwager 1.54 · AC Colina 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lota Schwager vs AC Colina?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.