Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 29/07, 22:00

Prediction: Barquisimeto vs Zamora II

Team pages: Barquisimeto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Barquisimeto1.76

Zamora II0.84

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Barquisimeto Draw Zamora II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Barquisimeto 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Zamora II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDWLWW

Head-to-head

Barquisimeto 0–2–0 Zamora II (2 last)

Zamora II0-0Barquisimeto
Barquisimeto1-1Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barquisimeto 1481 · Zamora II 1541

	Barquisimeto	Draw	Zamora II
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	59%	24%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zamora II (rating 1481 vs 1541).
Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barquisimeto	Zamora II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	2.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.4	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.70

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +11’	1.53	3.70	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barquisimeto 0–2–0 Zamora II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	0-0 HT 0-0	Barquisimeto
28/02/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Barquisimeto	1-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	17	10	5	2	28	15	35
2	Urena SC	17	9	6	2	29	16	33
3	Barquisimeto	17	9	5	3	26	15	32
4	Yaracuyanos	17	7	4	6	21	18	25
5	Zamora II	16	6	6	4	25	21	24
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	17	6	3	8	22	22	21
7	Atletico Barinas	17	6	2	9	32	36	20
8	Real Frontera	17	3	2	12	17	34	11
9	Atletico El Vigia	17	1	5	11	12	35	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barquisimeto	Zamora II
Academia Puerto Cabello II	2-2 D	2-1 W
Yaracuyanos	0-4 L	3-2 W
Real Frontera	2-1 W	2-0 W
CD Lara	0-1 L	1-4 L
Atletico El Vigia	5-0 W	1-1 D
Atletico Barinas	1-2 L	2-2 D
Urena SC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zamora II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Barquisimeto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
24/06	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Cup	0-3	0-4	5	6	L
06/06	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	10	7	W
30/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
24/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
20/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	5-0	3	6	W
16/05	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
09/05	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
25/04	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	6	12	D
18/04	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	6	8	W

Zamora II

WLDWDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
30/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
24/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-4	5	4	L
20/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	3-2	3	9	W
16/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
09/05	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-2	2	6	D
03/05	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/04	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	12	D
11/04	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
04/04	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	3	11	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barquisimeto vs Zamora II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barquisimeto win (58%). Probabilities: Barquisimeto 58%, draw 25%, Zamora II 17%.

How many goals are expected in Barquisimeto vs Zamora II?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Barquisimeto 1.76 · Zamora II 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Barquisimeto vs Zamora II?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.