Football · El Salvador Apertura · 15/08, 23:30

Prediction: CD Aguila vs Atlético Balboa

Team pages: CD Aguila · Atlético Balboa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
CD Aguila1.58
Atlético Balboa0.73
1X2
57% 26% 17%
CD Aguila Draw Atlético Balboa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Aguila 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLDDDL
Atlético Balboa 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDWLWDDLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1501 · Atlético Balboa 1498
CD AguilaDrawAtlético Balboa
Our model57%27%16%
Market58%25%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD AguilaAtlético Balboa
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%0/71/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.2 / 06.3 / 0.2

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AD Isidro Metapan 4310 8310
2 Internacional Santa Tecla 5230 529
3 CD Luis Angel Firpo 3210 717
4 CD FAS 4211 847
5 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3120 425
6 CD Cacahuatique 4121 885
7 Municipal Limeno 5113 474
8 Alianza FC 2101 333
9 CD Aguila 4031 453
10 Atlético Balboa 4031 353
11 Fuerte San Francisco 4031 373
12 CD INCA Aruba 4004 1110

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD AguilaAtlético Balboa
AD Isidro Metapan 1-2 L 0-0 D
CD Cacahuatique 2-2 D 2-4 L
Internacional Santa Tecla 0-0 D 0-0 D
CD FAS 0-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atlético Balboa (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Aguila

DWWLWLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 AD Isidro Metapan
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 1-2 27 L
02/08 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 2-2 76 D
31/07 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-0 47 D
26/07 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 1-1 13 D
24/05 CD FAS
El Salvador Clausura
0-3 0-3 04 L
17/05 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Clausura
0-0 1-0 35 W
13/05 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Clausura
0-1 1-2 512 L
10/05 Alianza FC
El Salvador Clausura
2-0 2-0 58 W
06/05 Alianza FC
El Salvador Clausura
2-1 2-1 75 W
01/05 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Clausura
0-1 1-1 55 D

Atlético Balboa

DDWLWDDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 CD FAS
El Salvador Apertura
1-1 1-1 03 D
02/08 AD Isidro Metapan
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-0 98 D
28/07 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
2-2 2-4 35 L
25/07 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-0 D
31/05 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-0 1-1 410 D
16/05 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-1 2-1 46 W
10/05 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-1 0-1 77 L
03/05 CD Fuerte Aguilares
El Salvador Segunda Division
2-0 W
26/04 CD Fuerte Aguilares
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-0 D
19/04 CD Cruzeiro
El Salvador Segunda Division
2-2 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs Atlético Balboa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (57%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 57%, draw 26%, Atlético Balboa 17%.

How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs Atlético Balboa?

The model expects 2.32 goals (CD Aguila 1.58 · Atlético Balboa 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs Atlético Balboa?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.