Football · El Salvador Apertura · 23/08, 23:00
Prediction: Atlético Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco
Team pages: Atlético Balboa · Fuerte San Francisco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Atlético Balboa1.31
Fuerte San Francisco0.99
1X2
Atlético Balboa
Draw
Fuerte San Francisco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atlético Balboa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Fuerte San Francisco
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlético Balboa
2–3
Fuerte San Francisco
(5 last)
- Fuerte San Francisco0-1Atlético Balboa
- Atlético Balboa0-1Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco1-0Atlético Balboa
- Atlético Balboa2-0Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco3-1Atlético Balboa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atlético Balboa 1517 · Fuerte San Francisco 1493
| Atlético Balboa | Draw | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fuerte San Francisco: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlético Balboa | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/63/38% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Balboa 2–0–3 Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/23 El Salvador Segunda Division | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atlético Balboa |
| 13/05/23 El Salvador Segunda Division | Atlético Balboa | 0-1 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 09/04/23 El Salvador Segunda Division | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-0 | Atlético Balboa |
| 19/02/23 El Salvador Segunda Division | Atlético Balboa | 2-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 27/11/22 El Salvador Segunda Division | Fuerte San Francisco | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Atlético Balboa |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Isidro Metapan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | CD FAS | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CD Cacahuatique | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Atlético Balboa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Fuerte San Francisco | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Alianza FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Municipal Limeno | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | CD Aguila | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 12 | CD INCA Aruba | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlético Balboa | Fuerte San Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| AD Isidro Metapan | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CD Cacahuatique | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fuerte San Francisco (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlético Balboa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 10/08 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 28/07 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 16/05 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 30/07 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 15/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlético Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlético Balboa win (43%). Probabilities: Atlético Balboa 43%, draw 29%, Fuerte San Francisco 28%.
How many goals are expected in Atlético Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Atlético Balboa 1.31 · Fuerte San Francisco 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlético Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.