Football · El Salvador Apertura · 23/08, 02:00
Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs Alianza FC
Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · Alianza FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
AD Isidro Metapan1.21
Alianza FC0.9
1X2
AD Isidro Metapan
Draw
Alianza FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AD Isidro Metapan
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Alianza FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD Isidro Metapan
2–2–2
Alianza FC
(6 last)
- AD Isidro Metapan1-1Alianza FC
- Alianza FC3-1AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan0-0Alianza FC
- Alianza FC2-1AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan1-0Alianza FC
- Alianza FC0-2AD Isidro Metapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1473 · Alianza FC 1567
| AD Isidro Metapan | Draw | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alianza FC (rating 1473 vs 1567).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD Isidro Metapan | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 2–2–2 Alianza FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 El Salvador Cup | AD Isidro Metapan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alianza FC |
| 08/04/26 El Salvador Cup | Alianza FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 02/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC |
| 05/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 12/10/25 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC |
| 10/08/25 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | AD Isidro Metapan |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Isidro Metapan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | CD FAS | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CD Cacahuatique | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Atlético Balboa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Fuerte San Francisco | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Alianza FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Municipal Limeno | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | CD Aguila | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 12 | CD INCA Aruba | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD Isidro Metapan | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Fuerte San Francisco | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| CD Cacahuatique | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/11 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 24/11 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/11 | CD Hercules El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/11 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 06/11 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Alianza FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | CD INCA El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/12 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/12 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/12 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/11 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/11 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/11 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/11 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 12 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs Alianza FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Isidro Metapan win (43%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 43%, draw 30%, Alianza FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs Alianza FC?
The model expects 2.11 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.21 · Alianza FC 0.9), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs Alianza FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.