Football · El Salvador Apertura · 23/08, 04:00

Prediction: CD FAS vs CD Aguila

Team pages: CD FAS · CD Aguila

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

CD FAS1.59

CD Aguila1.18

1X2

46% 26% 28%

CD FAS Draw CD Aguila

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CD FAS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWDL

CD Aguila 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDDDLL

Head-to-head

CD FAS 4–1–1 CD Aguila (6 last)

CD Aguila0-3CD FAS
CD Aguila3-0CD FAS
CD FAS3-0CD Aguila
CD Aguila1-1CD FAS
CD FAS1-0CD Aguila
CD Aguila0-1CD FAS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD FAS 1542 · CD Aguila 1497

	CD FAS	Draw	CD Aguila
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1542 vs 1497).
H2H favours CD FAS: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD FAS	CD Aguila
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.4	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	6.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.95▼	Pinn 2.03
X	3.25 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.50 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +5’	2.05	3.25	3.20
05:51 +5’	1.85▼	3.50▲	3.50▲
11:39 +9’	1.85	3.60▲	3.40▼
19:09 +9’	1.95▲	3.50▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:37	1.90	3.27	3.85
03:10	1.89▼	3.26▼	3.89▲
11:35 +12’	1.98▲	3.22▼	3.62▼
18:44 +33’	2.03▲	3.18▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD FAS 4–1–1 CD Aguila

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	0-3 HT 0-3	CD FAS
29/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	3-0 HT 2-0	CD FAS
01/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	3-0 HT 2-0	CD Aguila
23/10/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	1-1 HT 1-0	CD FAS
03/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Aguila
11/05/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	0-1 HT 0-0	CD FAS

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Internacional Santa Tecla	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
2	AD Isidro Metapan	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	4	2	2	0	7	1	8
4	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	4	2	2	0	6	3	8
5	CD FAS	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
6	CD Cacahuatique	5	1	3	1	8	8	6
7	Atlético Balboa	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
8	Fuerte San Francisco	5	1	3	1	4	7	6
9	Alianza FC	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
10	Municipal Limeno	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
11	CD Aguila	5	0	3	2	6	9	3
12	CD INCA Aruba	6	0	1	5	2	15	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD FAS	CD Aguila
Atlético Balboa	1-1 D	2-4 L
AD Isidro Metapan	0-2 L	1-2 L
CD Cacahuatique	0-1 L	2-2 D
CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD FAS

WLWWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
03/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
31/07	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
25/07	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	3-1	9	5	W
30/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
23/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-2	3-2	7	9	W
16/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
09/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-3	10	10	L
06/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-1	5	5	W

CD Aguila

DWWLWDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-4	3	8	L
08/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
02/08	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D
31/07	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
26/07	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
14/12	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
07/12	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-3	8	12	L
30/11	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	10	W
24/11	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-1	14	7	W
16/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	3-2	3-3	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs CD Aguila?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (46%). Probabilities: CD FAS 46%, draw 26%, CD Aguila 28%.

How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs CD Aguila?

The model expects 2.77 goals (CD FAS 1.59 · CD Aguila 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD FAS vs CD Aguila?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.