Football · El Salvador Apertura · 24/08, 01:30

Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.88

CD Platense Zacatecoluca0.85

1X2

61% 24% 16%

CD Luis Angel Firpo Draw CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDDWWD

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLDDWW

Head-to-head

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5–1–0 CD Platense Zacatecoluca (6 last)

CD Platense Zacatecoluca0-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo3-1CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Luis Angel Firpo6-2CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Platense Zacatecoluca0-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-0CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1588 · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1479

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Draw	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	61%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1588 vs 1479).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.80

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.51
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.83
2	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 5.99 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:46 +3’	1.48	3.80	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:48 +1’	1.51	3.83	5.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 5–1–0 CD Platense Zacatecoluca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
15/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	3-1 HT 1-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
30/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	6-2 HT 2-2	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
23/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
26/10/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-3 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
24/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Internacional Santa Tecla	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
2	AD Isidro Metapan	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	4	2	2	0	7	1	8
4	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	4	2	2	0	6	3	8
5	CD FAS	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
6	CD Cacahuatique	5	1	3	1	8	8	6
7	Atlético Balboa	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
8	Fuerte San Francisco	5	1	3	1	4	7	6
9	Alianza FC	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
10	Municipal Limeno	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
11	CD Aguila	5	0	3	2	6	9	3
12	CD INCA Aruba	6	0	1	5	2	15	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Luis Angel Firpo	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD INCA Aruba	0-0 D	2-0 W
Municipal Limeno	2-0 W	1-1 D
Fuerte San Francisco	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Luis Angel Firpo

DWWWLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
09/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
21/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
14/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
07/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	12	W
30/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	2-2	6-2	6	4	W
23/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
16/11	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	2-3	3-3	6	3	D

CD Platense Zacatecoluca

DDWLLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
08/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	10	W
02/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
26/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	13	2	D
30/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	2-2	2-6	2	4	L
23/11	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
16/11	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-4	7	4	L
09/11	CD Hercules El Salvador Apertura	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
06/11	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
01/11	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (61%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 61%, draw 24%, CD Platense Zacatecoluca 16%.

How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

The model expects 2.73 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.88 · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.