Football · El Salvador Apertura · 09/08, 01:00
Prediction: Internacional Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
Team pages: Internacional Santa Tecla · Alianza FC
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Internacional Santa Tecla1.31
Alianza FC1.33
1X2
Internacional Santa Tecla
Draw
Alianza FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional Santa Tecla
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Alianza FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional Santa Tecla
2–1–1
Alianza FC
(4 last)
- Internacional Santa Tecla2-0Alianza FC
- Alianza FC1-3Internacional Santa Tecla
- Internacional Santa Tecla0-1Alianza FC
- Alianza FC0-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional Santa Tecla 1529 · Alianza FC 1522
| Internacional Santa Tecla | Draw | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Internacional Santa Tecla: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional Santa Tecla | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.7 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional Santa Tecla 2–1–1 Alianza FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | Internacional Santa Tecla | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Alianza FC |
| 29/01/26 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Internacional Santa Tecla |
| 22/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | Internacional Santa Tecla | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC |
| 20/07/25 El Salvador Apertura | Alianza FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Internacional Santa Tecla |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Isidro Metapan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | CD Cacahuatique | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Alianza FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | CD Aguila | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | CD INCA Aruba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Internacional Santa Tecla | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Fuerte San Francisco | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| CD Aguila | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Municipal Limeno | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Zacatecoluca FC | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | D |
| 31/07 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/05 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
Alianza FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Herediano CONCACAF Central American Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | Antigua GFC CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | CD INCA El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 06/05 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 16/04 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alianza FC win (36%). Probabilities: Internacional Santa Tecla 35%, draw 29%, Alianza FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Internacional Santa Tecla 1.31 · Alianza FC 1.33), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.