Football · El Salvador Apertura · 10/08, 01:30

Prediction: CD FAS vs Atlético Balboa

Team pages: CD FAS · Atlético Balboa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
CD FAS1.97
Atlético Balboa0.72
1X2
66% 22% 12%
CD FAS Draw Atlético Balboa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD FAS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWWLWL
Atlético Balboa 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWLWDDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD FAS 1554 · Atlético Balboa 1483
CD FASDrawAtlético Balboa
Our model66%22%12%
Market66%22%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1554 vs 1483).
  • High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD FASAtlético Balboa
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.70.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 7.42.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.37 / 0.2

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AD Isidro Metapan 4310 8310
2 CD FAS 3201 736
3 CD Luis Angel Firpo 2110 514
4 CD Cacahuatique 3111 884
5 Municipal Limeno 3111 444
6 Alianza FC 1100 313
7 Internacional Santa Tecla 3030 223
8 CD Aguila 4031 453
9 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 2020 222
10 Atlético Balboa 3021 242
11 Fuerte San Francisco 3021 372
12 CD INCA Aruba 3003 190

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD FASAtlético Balboa
CD INCA Aruba 4-0 W 1-1 D
AD Isidro Metapan 0-2 L 0-0 D
CD Cacahuatique 1-1 D 2-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD FAS (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD FAS

DDLWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Motagua
CONCACAF Central American Cup
0-0 0-1 92 L
03/08 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Apertura
2-0 4-0 52 W
31/07 AD Isidro Metapan
El Salvador Apertura
0-2 0-2 28 L
25/07 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Apertura
0-1 3-1 95 W
19/07 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Super Cup
2-0 3-0 45 W
24/05 CD Aguila
El Salvador Clausura
3-0 3-0 94 W
18/05 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Clausura
1-0 2-0 136 W
15/05 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Clausura
0-0 0-1 32 L
10/05 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Clausura
1-0 1-1 412 D
07/05 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Clausura
0-0 1-1 167 D

Atlético Balboa

LDDWLWDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 AD Isidro Metapan
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-0 98 D
28/07 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
2-2 2-4 35 L
25/07 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
0-0 0-0 D
31/05 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-0 1-1 410 D
16/05 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-1 2-1 46 W
10/05 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-1 0-1 77 L
03/05 CD Fuerte Aguilares
El Salvador Segunda Division
2-0 W
26/04 CD Fuerte Aguilares
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-0 D
19/04 CD Cruzeiro
El Salvador Segunda Division
2-2 D
12/04 CD Olimpico Litoral
El Salvador Segunda Division
0-4 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs Atlético Balboa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (66%). Probabilities: CD FAS 66%, draw 22%, Atlético Balboa 12%.

How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs Atlético Balboa?

The model expects 2.68 goals (CD FAS 1.97 · Atlético Balboa 0.72), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD FAS vs Atlético Balboa?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.