Football · El Salvador Apertura · 15/08, 23:30
Prediction: Fuerte San Francisco vs AD Isidro Metapan
Team pages: Fuerte San Francisco · AD Isidro Metapan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Fuerte San Francisco0.98
AD Isidro Metapan1.43
1X2
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw
AD Isidro Metapan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fuerte San Francisco
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
AD Isidro Metapan
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fuerte San Francisco
4–2
AD Isidro Metapan
(6 last)
- AD Isidro Metapan1-3Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco1-2AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan1-2Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco1-0AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan0-1Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco0-1AD Isidro Metapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fuerte San Francisco 1475 · AD Isidro Metapan 1489
| Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | AD Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 29% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fuerte San Francisco: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fuerte San Francisco | AD Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuerte San Francisco 4–0–2 AD Isidro Metapan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 01/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-2 HT 0-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 09/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | AD Isidro Metapan | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 07/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 03/05/25 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 09/03/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AD Isidro Metapan |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Isidro Metapan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | CD FAS | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | CD Cacahuatique | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | CD Aguila | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | CD INCA Aruba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fuerte San Francisco | AD Isidro Metapan |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cacahuatique | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Alianza FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AD Isidro Metapan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 30/07 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 15/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
AD Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Clausura |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | Alianza FC El Salvador Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fuerte San Francisco vs AD Isidro Metapan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AD Isidro Metapan win (46%). Probabilities: Fuerte San Francisco 25%, draw 28%, AD Isidro Metapan 46%.
How many goals are expected in Fuerte San Francisco vs AD Isidro Metapan?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Fuerte San Francisco 0.98 · AD Isidro Metapan 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fuerte San Francisco vs AD Isidro Metapan?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.