Football · El Salvador Apertura · 09/08, 03:00

Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Municipal Limeno

Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · Municipal Limeno

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.78

Municipal Limeno1.12

1X2

52% 25% 23%

CD Luis Angel Firpo Draw Municipal Limeno

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CD Luis Angel Firpo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLLDWL

Municipal Limeno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLWD

Head-to-head

CD Luis Angel Firpo 3–2–1 Municipal Limeno (6 last)

Municipal Limeno2-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-0Municipal Limeno
CD Luis Angel Firpo1-1Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-2Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno1-4CD Luis Angel Firpo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1498 · Municipal Limeno 1499

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Draw	Municipal Limeno
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Municipal Limeno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.61
2	4.50 → 4.00▼	Pinn 5.15 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:04 +6’	1.61	3.60	4.50
09:23 +5’	1.61	3.75▲	4.75▲
00:01 +9’	1.75▲	3.60▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +1’	1.68	3.46	4.82
04:07 +1’	1.64▼	3.54▲	5.03▲
01:45 +2’	1.65▲	3.61▲	5.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 3–2–1 Municipal Limeno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	Municipal Limeno	2-1 HT 2-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
18/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-0 HT 1-0	Municipal Limeno
22/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 HT 0-0	Municipal Limeno
20/07/25 El Salvador Apertura	Municipal Limeno	1-3 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
27/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-2 HT 2-0	Municipal Limeno
02/03/25 El Salvador Clausura	Municipal Limeno	1-4 HT 1-4	CD Luis Angel Firpo

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Isidro Metapan	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
2	CD FAS	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
4	CD Cacahuatique	3	1	1	1	8	8	4
5	Municipal Limeno	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
6	Alianza FC	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
7	Internacional Santa Tecla	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
8	CD Aguila	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
9	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
10	Atlético Balboa	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
11	Fuerte San Francisco	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
12	CD INCA Aruba	3	0	0	3	1	9	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Luis Angel Firpo

DDWDWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Plaza Amador CONCACAF Central American Cup	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
30/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/07	CD FAS El Salvador Super Cup	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
17/05	CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
13/05	CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura	1-0	2-1	2	12	W
10/05	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
07/05	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
01/05	CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
26/04	CD FAS El Salvador Clausura	1-1	1-1	6	8	D

Municipal Limeno

WLLWLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
30/07	CD INCA El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
25/07	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
18/05	CD FAS El Salvador Clausura	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
15/05	CD FAS El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
11/05	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
08/05	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Clausura	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
01/05	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
26/04	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Clausura	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
24/04	CD El Roble El Salvador Cup	1-0	2-1	4	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Municipal Limeno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (52%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 52%, draw 25%, Municipal Limeno 23%.

How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Municipal Limeno?

The model expects 2.9 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.78 · Municipal Limeno 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Municipal Limeno?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.