Football · El Salvador Apertura · 30/09, 23:30

Prediction: CD Aguila vs Internacional Santa Tecla

Team pages: CD Aguila · Internacional Santa Tecla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

CD Aguila1.39

Internacional Santa Tecla1.08

1X2

43% 28% 28%

CD Aguila Draw Internacional Santa Tecla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Aguila 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDDWWL

Internacional Santa Tecla 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWDDD

Head-to-head

CD Aguila 2–1–2 Internacional Santa Tecla (5 last)

Internacional Santa Tecla0-0CD Aguila
CD Aguila0-1Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla0-1CD Aguila
CD Aguila3-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla2-0CD Aguila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1522 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1542

	CD Aguila	Draw	Internacional Santa Tecla
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Aguila	Internacional Santa Tecla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.3	4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.54 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +13’	2.05	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +31’	2.01	3.19	3.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 2–1–2 Internacional Santa Tecla

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 El Salvador Apertura	Internacional Santa Tecla	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Aguila
19/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	0-1 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
22/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Aguila
05/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Aguila	3-0 HT 3-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
05/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	2-0 HT 0-0	CD Aguila

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	11	7	2	2	21	10	23
2	AD Isidro Metapan	12	7	2	3	17	10	23
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	11	6	3	2	18	7	21
4	Internacional Santa Tecla	12	5	6	1	17	9	21
5	Municipal Limeno	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
6	Alianza FC	10	3	5	2	15	14	14
7	CD Aguila	12	3	5	4	16	16	14
8	Atlético Balboa	12	3	4	5	13	17	13
9	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	12	3	4	5	12	16	13
10	CD INCA Aruba	12	3	3	6	9	21	12
11	CD Cacahuatique	12	1	5	6	11	20	8
12	Fuerte San Francisco	12	1	5	6	8	19	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Aguila	Internacional Santa Tecla
CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-2 L	0-3 L
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-0 W	3-0 W
CD INCA Aruba	3-1 W	4-1 W
Municipal Limeno	0-0 D	1-0 W
Alianza FC	2-2 D	2-0 W
Fuerte San Francisco	4-1 W	2-2 D
CD FAS	0-1 L	2-2 D
Atlético Balboa	2-4 L	1-1 D
AD Isidro Metapan	1-2 L	0-0 D
CD Cacahuatique	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional Santa Tecla (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Aguila

DLLLWDDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	9	12	L
20/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
12/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
10/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	10	D
06/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
30/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	4-1	8	6	W
23/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
15/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-4	3	8	L
08/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
02/08	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D

Internacional Santa Tecla

DWWWWLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
20/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
13/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
07/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-3	0-3	1	5	L
29/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-0	5	8	W
22/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	4-1	4	1	W
15/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
01/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	10	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (43%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 43%, draw 28%, Internacional Santa Tecla 28%.

How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model expects 2.46 goals (CD Aguila 1.39 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1.08), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.