Football · South Africa Premier · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Kruger United vs Kaizer Chiefs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Kruger United0.76
Kaizer Chiefs1.39
1X2
Kruger United
Draw
Kaizer Chiefs
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kruger United
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Kaizer Chiefs
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kruger United 1580 · Kaizer Chiefs 1519
| Kruger United | Draw | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 30% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 27% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kruger United (rating 1580 vs 1519).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kruger United | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/29/14% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazulu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chippa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Durban City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kruger United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Golden Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milford FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polokwane City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Richards Bay FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sekhukhune United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Siwelele FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stellenbosch FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TS Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kruger United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Gomora United South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Baroka FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Lerumo Lions South Africa National Div 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/03 | Casric Stars FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Milford FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Elche World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Al Kholood World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 29/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/04 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kruger United vs Kaizer Chiefs?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kaizer Chiefs win (52%). Probabilities: Kruger United 20%, draw 28%, Kaizer Chiefs 52%.
How many goals are expected in Kruger United vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Kruger United 0.76 · Kaizer Chiefs 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kruger United vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.