Football · Italy Serie B · 08/11, 17:15

Prediction: Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Team pages: Carrarese · Sampdoria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Carrarese1.44
Sampdoria1.22
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Carrarese Draw Sampdoria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Carrarese 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWWLWL
Sampdoria 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLLDLW
Head-to-head
Carrarese 2–1–1 Sampdoria (4 last)
  • Carrarese2-0Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria3-2Carrarese
  • Carrarese1-0Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria1-1Carrarese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carrarese 1473 · Sampdoria 1456
CarrareseDrawSampdoria
Our model41%28%31%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Carrarese: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CarrareseSampdoria
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.31 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.12 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrarese 2–1–1 Sampdoria

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/03/26
Italy Serie B
Carrarese2-0
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
07/12/25
Italy Serie B
Sampdoria3-2
HT 2-2
Carrarese
25/04/25
Italy Serie B
Carrarese1-0
HT 1-0
Sampdoria
26/12/24
Italy Serie B
Sampdoria1-1
HT 0-1
Carrarese

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Ascoli 11551 17720
3 Modena 10622 181020
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Sudtirol 11362 131215
10 Padova 11434 121315
11 Cesena 11362 121415
12 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
13 Cremonese 10334 101112
14 Arezzo 11326 92011
15 Virtus Entella 10244 111210
16 Carrarese 10316 91310
17 Vicenza 10235 13209
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Sampdoria 10226 10188
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCarrareseSampdoria
Arezzo 2-1 W 1-2 L
Palermo 1-2 L 1-3 L
Catanzaro 0-1 L 2-1 W
Ascoli 1-1 D 0-2 L
Mantova 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Carrarese (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrarese

LDLLLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Verona
Italy Serie B
0-3 0-3 91 L
28/10 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-1 47 W
25/10 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 72 L
17/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-1 26 W
11/10 Padova
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 15 W
19/09 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 114 L
12/09 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 54 L
05/09 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 12 L
29/08 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 97 D
22/08 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 22 L

Sampdoria

DLLLWLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
2-0 2-0 46 W
27/10 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 43 L
24/10 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 53 D
18/10 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-2 104 L
09/10 Avellino
Italy Serie B
1-4 1-4 65 L
19/09 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 48 W
13/09 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 53 L
07/09 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-2 1-3 55 L
29/08 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-2 24 L
23/08 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 124 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrarese win (41%). Probabilities: Carrarese 41%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 30%.

How many goals are expected in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Carrarese 1.44 · Sampdoria 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.