Football · Italy Serie B · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Padova vs Empoli
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Padova1.55
Empoli0.76
1X2
Padova
Draw
Empoli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Padova
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Empoli
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Padova
1–1
Empoli
(2 last)
- Padova1-0Empoli
- Empoli3-1Padova
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Padova (rating 1505 vs 1441).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Padova | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Padova 1–0–1 Empoli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Italy Serie B | Padova | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Empoli |
| 23/08/25 Italy Serie B | Empoli | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Padova |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 19 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Padova | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Palermo | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Ascoli | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cremonese | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Padova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/10 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Empoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 23/10 | Vicenza Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Padova vs Empoli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Padova win (55%). Probabilities: Padova 55%, draw 28%, Empoli 17%.
How many goals are expected in Padova vs Empoli?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Padova 1.55 · Empoli 0.76), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Padova vs Empoli?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.