Football · Italy Serie B · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Cesena vs Catanzaro
Team pages: Cesena · Catanzaro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Cesena1.82
Catanzaro1.14
1X2
Cesena
Draw
Catanzaro
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cesena
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Catanzaro
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cesena
2–3
Catanzaro
(5 last)
- Cesena3-1Catanzaro
- Catanzaro2-0Cesena
- Catanzaro1-0Cesena
- Catanzaro4-2Cesena
- Cesena2-0Catanzaro
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesena (rating 1496 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Catanzaro: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cesena | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesena 2–0–3 Catanzaro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Catanzaro |
| 27/12/25 Italy Serie B | Catanzaro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cesena |
| 17/05/25 Italy Serie B Play-Offs | Catanzaro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cesena |
| 01/02/25 Italy Serie B | Catanzaro | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Cesena |
| 28/08/24 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Catanzaro |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 10 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 19 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cesena | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Benevento | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Mantova | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sampdoria | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cesena (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/10 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 24/10 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Catanzaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Padova Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 27/10 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/10 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/10 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Vicenza Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesena vs Catanzaro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cesena win (52%). Probabilities: Cesena 52%, draw 25%, Catanzaro 23%.
How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Cesena 1.82 · Catanzaro 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.