Football · Italy Serie B · 08/11, 19:30

Prediction: Vicenza vs Cremonese

Team pages: Vicenza · Cremonese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Vicenza1.22
Cremonese1.34
1X2
32% 29% 38%
Vicenza Draw Cremonese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Vicenza 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLDDLLDWLL
Cremonese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDDDLLWW
Head-to-head
Vicenza 2–1–1 Cremonese (4 last)
  • Cremonese0-0Vicenza
  • Vicenza0-1Cremonese
  • Vicenza3-1Cremonese
  • Cremonese0-1Vicenza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vicenza 1463 · Cremonese 1511
VicenzaDrawCremonese
Our model32%29%38%
Market32%29%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cremonese (rating 1463 vs 1511).
  • H2H favours Vicenza: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VicenzaCremonese
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 21 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.71.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.13.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vicenza 2–1–1 Cremonese

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/22
Italy Serie B
Cremonese0-0
HT 0-0
Vicenza
26/09/21
Italy Serie B
Vicenza0-1
HT 0-1
Cremonese
02/03/21
Italy Serie B
Vicenza3-1
HT 2-0
Cremonese
07/11/20
Italy Serie B
Cremonese0-1
HT 0-0
Vicenza

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Ascoli 11551 17720
3 Modena 10622 181020
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Sudtirol 11362 131215
10 Padova 11434 121315
11 Cesena 11362 121415
12 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
13 Cremonese 10334 101112
14 Arezzo 11326 92011
15 Virtus Entella 10244 111210
16 Carrarese 10316 91310
17 Vicenza 10235 13209
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Sampdoria 10226 10188
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVicenzaCremonese
Modena 1-2 L 0-3 L
Empoli 2-0 W 0-1 L
Benevento 2-2 D 2-0 W
Pisa 0-3 L 1-3 L
Juve Stabia 1-1 D 0-1 L
Virtus Entella 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vicenza (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vicenza

WLDDLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Palermo
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-3 43 L
27/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-2 56 L
23/10 Empoli
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 44 W
17/10 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-2 2-2 47 D
10/10 Pisa
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-3 62 L
20/09 Verona
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-2 56 L
12/09 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 82 D
06/09 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 45 D
29/08 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-3 77 L
21/08 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
1-1 3-2 105 W

Cremonese

LLWDDDLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Benevento
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 16 W
27/10 Mantova
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 27 W
24/10 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 61 L
17/10 Pisa
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-3 67 L
10/10 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 15 D
19/09 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 11 D
12/09 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-2 45 D
06/09 Padova
Italy Serie B
2-1 3-1 30 W
28/08 Modena
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-3 83 L
22/08 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vicenza vs Cremonese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cremonese win (38%). Probabilities: Vicenza 32%, draw 29%, Cremonese 38%.

How many goals are expected in Vicenza vs Cremonese?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Vicenza 1.22 · Cremonese 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vicenza vs Cremonese?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.