Football · Italy Serie B · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Virtus Entella vs Modena

Team pages: Virtus Entella · Modena

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Virtus Entella1.18
Modena1.35
1X2
31% 29% 39%
Virtus Entella Draw Modena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Entella 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWDDWLDL
Modena 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDWWLWWD
Head-to-head
Virtus Entella 4–2 Modena (6 last)
  • Virtus Entella2-1Modena
  • Modena2-0Virtus Entella
  • Virtus Entella0-2Modena
  • Modena1-2Virtus Entella
  • Virtus Entella1-0Modena
  • Modena0-1Virtus Entella
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Virtus Entella 1488 · Modena 1545
Virtus EntellaDrawModena
Our model31%29%39%
Market31%29%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modena (rating 1488 vs 1545).
  • H2H favours Virtus Entella: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Virtus EntellaModena
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Virtus Entella 4–0–2 Modena

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/03/26
Italy Serie B
Virtus Entella2-1
HT 1-1
Modena
05/10/25
Italy Serie B
Modena2-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella
30/01/22
Italy Serie C Group B
Virtus Entella0-2
HT 0-0
Modena
25/09/21
Italy Serie C Group B
Modena1-2
HT 0-1
Virtus Entella
16/04/16
Italy Serie B
Virtus Entella1-0
HT 1-0
Modena
28/11/15
Italy Serie B
Modena0-1
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Ascoli 11551 17720
3 Modena 10622 181020
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Sudtirol 11362 131215
10 Padova 11434 121315
11 Cesena 11362 121415
12 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
13 Cremonese 10334 101112
14 Arezzo 11326 92011
15 Virtus Entella 10244 111210
16 Carrarese 10316 91310
17 Vicenza 10235 13209
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Sampdoria 10226 10188
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVirtus EntellaModena
Avellino 1-1 D 0-1 L
Mantova 0-1 L 1-1 D
Cremonese 0-0 D 3-0 W
Vicenza 2-2 D 2-1 W
Cesena 1-2 L 3-0 W
Sudtirol 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Modena (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Virtus Entella

LLDWDDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-2 26 L
27/10 Avellino
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 15 D
24/10 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 510 L
17/10 Padova
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 62 W
10/10 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 53 D
19/09 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 31 D
11/09 Pisa
Italy Serie B
3-0 4-1 24 W
06/09 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 45 D
29/08 Cesena
Italy Serie B
1-2 1-2 63 L
22/08 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 55 L

Modena

WWLDWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 05 D
27/10 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-1 46 W
24/10 Cesena
Italy Serie B
3-0 3-0 72 W
17/10 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 86 L
11/10 Verona
Italy Serie B
1-2 3-2 35 W
20/09 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 34 W
12/09 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 74 D
06/09 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 125 L
28/08 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-0 23 W
22/08 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Virtus Entella vs Modena?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Modena win (39%). Probabilities: Virtus Entella 31%, draw 29%, Modena 39%.

How many goals are expected in Virtus Entella vs Modena?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Virtus Entella 1.18 · Modena 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Virtus Entella vs Modena?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.