Football · Italy Serie B · 31/10, 17:15

Prediction: Catanzaro vs Padova

Team pages: Catanzaro · Padova

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Catanzaro1.65

Padova1.47

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Catanzaro Draw Padova

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Catanzaro 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDLD

Padova 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Catanzaro 1–2–3 Padova (6 last)

Padova1-3Catanzaro
Catanzaro0-1Padova
Padova2-1Catanzaro
Catanzaro0-0Padova
Catanzaro0-1Padova
Padova1-1Catanzaro

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Padova: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Catanzaro	Padova
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.94

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.06 → 2.08▲	Pinn 2.08
X	3.59 → 3.64▲	Pinn 3.64
2	3.35 → 3.38▲	Pinn 3.38

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:24 +23’	2.06	3.59	3.35
22:53 +3’	2.08▲	3.64▲	3.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Catanzaro 1–2–3 Padova

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Italy Serie B	Padova	1-3 HT 0-1	Catanzaro
19/10/25 Italy Serie B	Catanzaro	0-1 HT 0-1	Padova
29/05/22 Italy Serie C Play-Offs	Padova	2-1 HT 0-1	Catanzaro
25/05/22 Italy Serie C Play-Offs	Catanzaro	0-0 HT 0-0	Padova
19/01/22 Italy Serie C Cup	Catanzaro	0-1 HT 0-1	Padova
15/12/21 Italy Serie C Cup	Padova	1-1 HT 1-1	Catanzaro

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palermo	8	7	1	0	18	8	22
2	Modena	9	6	1	2	17	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	5	3	1	16	6	18
4	Mantova	9	5	2	2	14	10	17
5	Benevento	9	4	3	2	14	8	15
6	Pisa	8	4	2	2	15	10	14
7	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	10	9	13
8	Padova	9	4	1	4	9	10	13
9	Avellino	9	3	3	3	13	10	12
10	Cesena	9	2	5	2	10	13	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	2	4	3	11	10	10
12	Arezzo	8	3	1	4	8	17	10
13	Verona	8	2	3	3	15	13	9
14	Cremonese	9	2	3	4	8	11	9
15	Vicenza	9	2	3	4	12	17	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	3	3	2	9	8	8
17	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	7	9	7
18	Empoli	9	2	1	6	8	15	7
19	Sampdoria	9	1	2	6	8	18	5
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10	21	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Catanzaro	Padova
Ascoli	1-6 L	1-0 W
Verona	2-2 D	1-1 D
Carrarese	1-0 W	0-2 L
Sudtirol	0-2 L	2-0 W
Pisa	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Padova (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Catanzaro

WLLLWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Benevento Italy Serie B	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
24/10	Ascoli Italy Serie B	1-4	1-6	5	3	L
16/10	Verona Italy Serie B	1-1	2-2	0	3	D
11/10	Mantova Italy Serie B	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
19/09	Sampdoria Italy Serie B	1-0	1-2	5	8	L
12/09	Carrarese Italy Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
05/09	Sudtirol Italy Serie B	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
30/08	Pisa Italy Serie B	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
21/08	Vicenza Italy Serie B	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
29/05	Monza Italy Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W

Padova

WWDLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Sudtirol Italy Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
24/10	Avellino Italy Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
17/10	Virtus Entella Italy Serie B	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
11/10	Carrarese Italy Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
19/09	Palermo Italy Serie B	1-1	1-2	11	4	L
12/09	Ascoli Italy Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	Cremonese Italy Serie B	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
29/08	Verona Italy Serie B	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	Pisa Italy Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
08/05	Cesena Italy Serie B	3-3	4-3	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Catanzaro vs Padova?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Catanzaro win (41%). Probabilities: Catanzaro 41%, draw 26%, Padova 33%.

How many goals are expected in Catanzaro vs Padova?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Catanzaro 1.65 · Padova 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Catanzaro vs Padova?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.