Football · Italy Serie B · 31/10, 15:00
Prediction: Sudtirol vs Cesena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Sudtirol1.44
Cesena0.75
1X2
Sudtirol
Draw
Cesena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sudtirol
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Cesena
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sudtirol
0–4–2
Cesena
(6 last)
- Cesena1-1Sudtirol
- Sudtirol0-1Cesena
- Sudtirol1-1Cesena
- Cesena1-0Sudtirol
- Sudtirol1-1Cesena
- Cesena0-0Sudtirol
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sudtirol (rating 1503 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Cesena: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sudtirol | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sudtirol 0–4–2 Cesena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sudtirol |
| 25/10/25 Italy Serie B | Sudtirol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cesena |
| 05/04/25 Italy Serie B | Sudtirol | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cesena |
| 03/11/24 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sudtirol |
| 25/04/21 Italy Serie C Group B | Sudtirol | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cesena |
| 09/01/21 Italy Serie C Group B | Cesena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sudtirol |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sudtirol | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Juve Stabia | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Modena | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Benevento | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Virtus Entella | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sudtirol (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sudtirol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Cesena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Padova Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sudtirol vs Cesena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sudtirol win (52%). Probabilities: Sudtirol 52%, draw 29%, Cesena 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sudtirol vs Cesena?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Sudtirol 1.44 · Cesena 0.75), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sudtirol vs Cesena?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.