Football · Italy Serie B · 17/10, 15:00
Prediction: Carrarese vs Modena
Team pages: Carrarese · Modena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Carrarese1.1
Modena1.38
1X2
Carrarese
Draw
Modena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Carrarese
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Modena
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carrarese
1–1–4
Modena
(6 last)
- Modena2-0Carrarese
- Carrarese0-0Modena
- Carrarese2-1Modena
- Modena2-0Carrarese
- Carrarese2-3Modena
- Modena2-0Carrarese
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modena (rating 1438 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Modena: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carrarese | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrarese 1–1–4 Modena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Italy Serie B | Modena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Carrarese |
| 01/10/25 Italy Serie B | Carrarese | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Modena |
| 04/05/25 Italy Serie B | Carrarese | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Modena |
| 09/11/24 Italy Serie B | Modena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Carrarese |
| 12/03/22 Italy Serie C Group B | Carrarese | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Modena |
| 31/10/21 Italy Serie C Group B | Modena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Carrarese |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carrarese | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Empoli | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Frosinone | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Modena (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carrarese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Padova Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Modena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carrarese vs Modena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Modena win (42%). Probabilities: Carrarese 29%, draw 29%, Modena 42%.
How many goals are expected in Carrarese vs Modena?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Carrarese 1.1 · Modena 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Modena?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.