Football · Italy Serie B · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Avellino vs Padova
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Avellino1.54
Padova0.97
1X2
Avellino
Draw
Padova
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Avellino
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Padova
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avellino
1–2–2
Padova
(5 last)
- Avellino1-0Padova
- Padova2-2Avellino
- Avellino0-1Padova
- Avellino0-1Padova
- Padova1-1Avellino
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Padova: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avellino | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avellino 1–2–2 Padova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Padova |
| 30/09/25 Italy Serie B | Padova | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Avellino |
| 03/05/25 Italy Serie C Super Cup | Avellino | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Padova |
| 09/06/21 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Avellino | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Padova |
| 06/06/21 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Padova | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Avellino |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Modena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Sudtirol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benevento | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Virtus Entella | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Cesena | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avellino | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Palermo | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avellino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
4-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Vicenza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Padova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avellino vs Padova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avellino win (49%). Probabilities: Avellino 49%, draw 28%, Padova 23%.
How many goals are expected in Avellino vs Padova?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Avellino 1.54 · Padova 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Avellino vs Padova?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.