Football · Italy Serie B · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Modena vs Cesena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Modena1.38
Cesena0.95
1X2
Modena
Draw
Cesena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Modena
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Cesena
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Modena
2–2–2
Cesena
(6 last)
- Modena0-0Cesena
- Cesena1-0Modena
- Modena0-1Cesena
- Cesena2-2Modena
- Modena1-0Cesena
- Cesena1-2Modena
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Modena | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena 2–2–2 Cesena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Italy Serie B | Modena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cesena |
| 28/11/25 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Modena |
| 13/05/25 Italy Serie B | Modena | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cesena |
| 13/09/24 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Modena |
| 07/02/22 Italy Serie C Group B | Modena | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cesena |
| 28/09/21 Italy Serie C Group B | Cesena | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Modena |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Modena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Sudtirol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benevento | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Virtus Entella | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Cesena | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Modena | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Cremonese | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Benevento | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Juve Stabia | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Modena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Cesena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Padova Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Modena vs Cesena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena win (45%). Probabilities: Modena 45%, draw 30%, Cesena 25%.
How many goals are expected in Modena vs Cesena?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Modena 1.38 · Cesena 0.95), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Modena vs Cesena?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.