Football · Italy Serie B · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: Palermo vs Carrarese

Team pages: Palermo · Carrarese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Palermo2.1
Carrarese0.6
1X2
71% 20% 9%
Palermo Draw Carrarese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Palermo 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
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Carrarese 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Palermo 2–1–1 Carrarese (4 last)
  • Carrarese0-1Palermo
  • Palermo5-0Carrarese
  • Palermo1-1Carrarese
  • Carrarese1-0Palermo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palermo (rating 1614 vs 1445).
  • H2H favours Palermo: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PalermoCarrarese
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.20.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.92.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.34.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Palermo 2–1–1 Carrarese

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Italy Serie B
Carrarese0-1
HT 0-1
Palermo
29/11/25
Italy Serie B
Palermo5-0
HT 2-0
Carrarese
13/05/25
Italy Serie B
Palermo1-1
HT 0-1
Carrarese
07/12/24
Italy Serie B
Carrarese1-0
HT 0-0
Palermo

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 7610 16719
2 Mantova 7421 13814
3 Pisa 7412 14913
4 Modena 7412 12813
5 Sudtirol 7331 9612
6 Ascoli 7331 8512
7 Avellino 7322 12811
8 Benevento 7322 10711
9 Arezzo 7313 81410
10 Virtus Entella 7232 1089
11 Verona 7223 14128
12 Cesena 7151 898
13 Carrarese 7214 677
14 Empoli 7214 7117
15 Padova 7214 6107
16 Cremonese 7133 6106
17 Vicenza 7133 9156
18 Juve Stabia 7232 885
19 Catanzaro 7115 8144
20 Sampdoria 7115 7154

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPalermoCarrarese
Mantova 2-0 W 1-2 L
Empoli 4-2 W 0-1 L
Padova 2-1 W 2-0 W
Catanzaro 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Palermo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palermo

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 31 W
10/10 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 4-2 52 W
19/09 Padova
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-1 74 W
13/09 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 33 D
07/09 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-1 25 W
30/08 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
1-0 3-2 44 W
23/08 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 65 W
20/05 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 58 W
17/05 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-3 0-3 24 L
08/05 Venezia
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 24 L

Carrarese

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-1 26 W
11/10 Padova
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 15 W
19/09 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 114 L
12/09 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 54 L
05/09 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 12 L
29/08 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 97 D
22/08 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 22 L
08/05 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 55 L
01/05 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 103 D
25/04 Frosinone
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-3 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palermo vs Carrarese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palermo win (71%). Probabilities: Palermo 71%, draw 20%, Carrarese 9%.

How many goals are expected in Palermo vs Carrarese?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Palermo 2.1 · Carrarese 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Palermo vs Carrarese?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.