Prediction: Cesena vs Avellino
- Avellino3-1Cesena
- Cesena3-0Avellino
- Avellino1-1Cesena
- Cesena3-1Avellino
- Avellino1-1Cesena
- Cesena3-0Avellino
| Cesena | Draw | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cesena: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cesena | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesena 3–2–1 Avellino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Cesena |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Avellino |
| 10/02/18 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cesena |
| 15/09/17 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Avellino |
| 22/04/17 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cesena |
| 26/11/16 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Avellino |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Modena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Sudtirol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benevento | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Arezzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Virtus Entella | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Cesena | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cesena | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Palermo | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Avellino (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Padova Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Avellino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
4-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Vicenza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesena vs Avellino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cesena win (42%). Probabilities: Cesena 42%, draw 29%, Avellino 28%.
How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Avellino?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Cesena 1.48 · Avellino 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cesena vs Avellino?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.