Football · Italy Serie B · 17/10, 17:15
Prediction: Mantova vs Palermo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Mantova1.72
Palermo1.59
1X2
Mantova
Draw
Palermo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Mantova
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Palermo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mantova
0–3–2
Palermo
(5 last)
- Palermo5-2Mantova
- Palermo2-1Mantova
- Mantova1-1Palermo
- Palermo2-2Mantova
- Mantova0-0Palermo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Palermo: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mantova | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mantova 0–3–2 Palermo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 Coppa Italia | Palermo | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Mantova |
| 04/03/26 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Mantova |
| 11/01/26 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Palermo |
| 16/02/25 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Mantova |
| 30/10/24 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Palermo |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mantova | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Sampdoria | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Empoli | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Avellino | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Palermo (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
Palermo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Padova Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mantova vs Palermo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mantova win (40%). Probabilities: Mantova 40%, draw 25%, Palermo 35%.
How many goals are expected in Mantova vs Palermo?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Mantova 1.72 · Palermo 1.59), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mantova vs Palermo?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.