Football · Italy Serie B · 31/10, 15:00
Prediction: Modena vs Mantova
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Modena1.65
Mantova1.38
1X2
Modena
Draw
Mantova
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Modena
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Mantova
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Modena
3–3–0
Mantova
(6 last)
- Modena2-1Mantova
- Mantova1-3Modena
- Modena3-1Mantova
- Mantova0-0Modena
- Modena1-1Mantova
- Mantova0-0Modena
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Modena: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena 3–3–0 Mantova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Italy Serie B | Modena | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Mantova |
| 20/09/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Modena |
| 01/02/25 Italy Serie B | Modena | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Mantova |
| 30/11/24 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Modena |
| 14/03/21 Italy Serie C Group B | Modena | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mantova |
| 16/11/20 Italy Serie C Group B | Mantova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Modena |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Modena | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Carrarese | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Empoli | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mantova (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Modena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 17/10 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Modena vs Mantova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena win (43%). Probabilities: Modena 43%, draw 26%, Mantova 31%.
How many goals are expected in Modena vs Mantova?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Modena 1.65 · Mantova 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Modena vs Mantova?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.