Football · Italy Serie B · 06/11, 20:30
Prediction: Ascoli vs Palermo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Ascoli1.33
Palermo1.49
1X2
Ascoli
Draw
Palermo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ascoli
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Palermo
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ascoli
1–1–4
Palermo
(6 last)
- Palermo2-2Ascoli
- Ascoli0-1Palermo
- Ascoli1-2Palermo
- Palermo2-3Ascoli
- Ascoli1-2Palermo
- Palermo3-0Ascoli
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palermo (rating 1548 vs 1627).
- H2H favours Palermo: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.7 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ascoli 1–1–4 Palermo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/24 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Ascoli |
| 16/09/23 Italy Serie B | Ascoli | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Palermo |
| 29/01/23 Italy Serie B | Ascoli | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Palermo |
| 27/08/22 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Ascoli |
| 04/05/19 Italy Serie B | Ascoli | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Palermo |
| 27/12/18 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ascoli |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Verona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Avellino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 16 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ascoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Sampdoria | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Catanzaro | 6-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Empoli | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Avellino | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Padova | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Carrarese | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Palermo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ascoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/10 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
4-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Verona Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Palermo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 25/10 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/10 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Padova Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ascoli vs Palermo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palermo win (40%). Probabilities: Ascoli 33%, draw 27%, Palermo 40%.
How many goals are expected in Ascoli vs Palermo?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Ascoli 1.33 · Palermo 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ascoli vs Palermo?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.