Prediction: AC Milan (W) vs Ternana (W)
Team pages: AC Milan (W) · Ternana (W)
- Ternana (W)1-0AC Milan (W)
- AC Milan (W)3-0Ternana (W)
- AC Milan (W)2-1Ternana (W)
- Ternana (W)0-2AC Milan (W)
| AC Milan (W) | Draw | Ternana (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Milan (W) (rating 1517 vs 1466).
- H2H favours AC Milan (W): 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Milan (W) | Ternana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Milan (W) 3–0–1 Ternana (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Italy Serie A Women | Ternana (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AC Milan (W) |
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie A Women | AC Milan (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ternana (W) |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie A Cup Women | AC Milan (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ternana (W) |
| 02/11/22 Coppa Italia Women | Ternana (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | AC Milan (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Roma (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Como 1907 (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Ternana (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Fiorentina (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Como (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Juventus (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Napoli (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Parma (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Sassuolo (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Milan (W) | Ternana (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Roma (W) | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Parma (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sassuolo (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Como (W) | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Milan (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Milan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Ternana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Milan (W) vs Ternana (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Milan (W) win (56%). Probabilities: AC Milan (W) 56%, draw 24%, Ternana (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan (W) vs Ternana (W)?
The model expects 2.77 goals (AC Milan (W) 1.8 · Ternana (W) 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Milan (W) vs Ternana (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.