Prediction: Fiorentina (W) vs Juventus (W)
Team pages: Fiorentina (W) · Juventus (W)
- Fiorentina (W)1-2Juventus (W)
- Juventus (W)2-1Fiorentina (W)
- Fiorentina (W)0-2Juventus (W)
- Juventus (W)1-0Fiorentina (W)
- Fiorentina (W)3-1Juventus (W)
- Juventus (W)0-2Fiorentina (W)
| Fiorentina (W) | Draw | Juventus (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (W) (rating 1497 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Juventus (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fiorentina (W) | Juventus (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorentina (W) 2–0–4 Juventus (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Juventus (W) |
| 29/03/26 Coppa Italia Women | Juventus (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina (W) |
| 11/03/26 Coppa Italia Women | Fiorentina (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Juventus (W) |
| 23/11/25 Italy Serie A Women | Juventus (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fiorentina (W) |
| 25/04/25 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Juventus (W) |
| 15/03/25 Italy Serie A Women | Juventus (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fiorentina (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Como 1907 (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter Milan (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Ternana (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | AC Milan (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Como (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Napoli (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventus (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 10 | Parma (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 11 | Lazio (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Sassuolo (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fiorentina (W) | Juventus (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Parma (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Inter Milan (W) | 0-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Genoa (W) | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventus (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiorentina (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/10 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Juventus (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-4 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
3-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiorentina (W) vs Juventus (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventus (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Fiorentina (W) 29%, draw 27%, Juventus (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina (W) vs Juventus (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Fiorentina (W) 1.22 · Juventus (W) 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina (W) vs Juventus (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.