Prediction: Roma (W) vs Napoli (W)
Team pages: Roma (W) · Napoli (W)
- Roma (W)2-2Napoli (W)
- Napoli (W)1-3Roma (W)
- Roma (W)2-2Napoli (W)
- Napoli (W)0-1Roma (W)
- Napoli (W)1-2Roma (W)
- Roma (W)3-1Napoli (W)
| Roma (W) | Draw | Napoli (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| Market | 71% | 17% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (W) (rating 1611 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Roma (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma (W) | Napoli (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma (W) 4–2–0 Napoli (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Italy Serie A Women | Roma (W) | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Napoli (W) |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie A Women | Napoli (W) | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Roma (W) |
| 29/01/25 Coppa Italia Women | Roma (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Napoli (W) |
| 15/01/25 Coppa Italia Women | Napoli (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Roma (W) |
| 14/12/24 Italy Serie A Women | Napoli (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Roma (W) |
| 29/09/24 Italy Serie A Women | Roma (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Napoli (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Como 1907 (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter Milan (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Ternana (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | AC Milan (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Como (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Napoli (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventus (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 10 | Parma (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 11 | Lazio (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Sassuolo (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma (W) | Napoli (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus (W) | 5-2 W | 1-3 L |
| AC Milan (W) | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Sassuolo (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Genoa (W) | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Como (W) | 4-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
4-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-3 | 4-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Napoli (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma (W) vs Napoli (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma (W) win (71%). Probabilities: Roma (W) 71%, draw 17%, Napoli (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Roma (W) vs Napoli (W)?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Roma (W) 2.57 · Napoli (W) 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma (W) vs Napoli (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.