Football · Italy Serie A Women · 01/11, 18:00

Prediction: Como (W) vs AC Milan (W)

Team pages: Como (W) · AC Milan (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Como (W)1.11
AC Milan (W)1.19
1X2
33% 29% 37%
Como (W) Draw AC Milan (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Como (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DLDLDWWLDD
AC Milan (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWDLWLLWLW
Head-to-head
Como (W) 3–2–1 AC Milan (W) (6 last)
  • AC Milan (W)1-1Como (W)
  • AC Milan (W)0-0Como (W)
  • Como (W)1-0AC Milan (W)
  • AC Milan (W)0-1Como (W)
  • Como (W)1-0AC Milan (W)
  • AC Milan (W)1-0Como (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Como (W) 1495 · AC Milan (W) 1515
Como (W)DrawAC Milan (W)
Our model33%31%37%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Como (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Como (W)AC Milan (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.32.8 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.5 / 01.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Como (W) 3–2–1 AC Milan (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26
Italy Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Como (W)
22/03/26
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Como (W)
15/11/25
Italy Serie A Women
Como (W)1-0
HT 0-0
AC Milan (W)
17/11/24
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Como (W)
01/09/24
Italy Serie A Women
Como (W)1-0
HT 1-0
AC Milan (W)
05/05/24
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Como (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Roma (W) 4400 15612
2 Como 1907 (W) 5320 13711
3 Inter Milan (W) 4310 7010
4 Fiorentina (W) 4211 547
5 Ternana (W) 5212 577
6 AC Milan (W) 4202 896
7 Como (W) 4121 345
8 Napoli (W) 4112 664
9 Juventus (W) 4103 8123
10 Parma (W) 5023 272
11 Lazio (W) 4022 142
12 Sassuolo (W) 5023 4112

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentComo (W)AC Milan (W)
Inter Milan (W) 0-2 L 0-1 L
Ternana (W) 2-1 W 3-0 W
Napoli (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
Parma (W) 1-1 D 3-1 W
Roma (W) 3-4 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AC Milan (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Como (W)

DLDLDWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 84 D
17/10 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 1-1 10 D
04/10 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-2 21 L
27/09 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 2-1 52 W
16/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-0 3-0 11 W
09/05 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 51 D
03/05 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 23 L
25/04 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-1 30 D
03/04 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-2 3-4 31 L
22/03 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 32 D

AC Milan (W)

DWDLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-0 3-0 113 W
18/10 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-1 2-4 92 L
04/10 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 2-1 62 W
26/09 Como 1907 (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-2 1-4 102 L
17/05 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 22 L
10/05 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 3-1 91 W
02/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-1 51 L
25/04 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 62 D
03/04 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 3-0 70 W
22/03 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 42 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Como (W) vs AC Milan (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Milan (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Como (W) 33%, draw 29%, AC Milan (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Como (W) vs AC Milan (W)?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Como (W) 1.11 · AC Milan (W) 1.19), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Como (W) vs AC Milan (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.