Prediction: Parma (W) vs Fiorentina (W)
Team pages: Parma (W) · Fiorentina (W)
- Fiorentina (W)0-0Parma (W)
- Parma (W)1-1Fiorentina (W)
- Parma (W)0-4Fiorentina (W)
- Fiorentina (W)2-1Parma (W)
| Parma (W) | Draw | Fiorentina (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiorentina (W) (rating 1436 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Fiorentina (W): 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parma (W) | Fiorentina (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma (W) 0–2–2 Fiorentina (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Parma (W) |
| 15/11/25 Italy Serie A Women | Parma (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fiorentina (W) |
| 10/12/22 Italy Serie A Women | Parma (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Fiorentina (W) |
| 18/09/22 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Parma (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Roma (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Como 1907 (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Ternana (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Fiorentina (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Como (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Juventus (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Napoli (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Parma (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Sassuolo (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parma (W) | Fiorentina (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Ternana (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Lazio (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Juventus (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Como (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Genoa (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fiorentina (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parma (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Fiorentina (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/10 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parma (W) vs Fiorentina (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fiorentina (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Parma (W) 22%, draw 27%, Fiorentina (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Parma (W) vs Fiorentina (W)?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Parma (W) 0.91 · Fiorentina (W) 1.5), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Parma (W) vs Fiorentina (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.