Prediction: Napoli (W) vs Inter Milan (W)
Team pages: Napoli (W) · Inter Milan (W)
- Inter Milan (W)6-0Napoli (W)
- Inter Milan (W)2-2Napoli (W)
- Napoli (W)1-0Inter Milan (W)
- Inter Milan (W)1-0Napoli (W)
- Napoli (W)1-4Inter Milan (W)
- Napoli (W)2-3Inter Milan (W)
| Napoli (W) | Draw | Inter Milan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 24% | 56% |
| Market | 20% | 23% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (W) (rating 1478 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Inter Milan (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Napoli (W) | Inter Milan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Napoli (W) 1–1–4 Inter Milan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie A Cup Women | Inter Milan (W) | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Napoli (W) |
| 21/03/26 Italy Serie A Women | Inter Milan (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Napoli (W) |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie A Women | Napoli (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inter Milan (W) |
| 23/11/24 Italy Serie A Women | Inter Milan (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Napoli (W) |
| 15/09/24 Italy Serie A Women | Napoli (W) | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Inter Milan (W) |
| 27/01/24 Italy Serie A Women | Napoli (W) | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Inter Milan (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Roma (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Como 1907 (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Ternana (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Fiorentina (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Como (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Juventus (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Napoli (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Parma (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Sassuolo (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Napoli (W) | Inter Milan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo (W) | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Juventus (W) | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Como (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| AC Milan (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Genoa (W) | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Lazio (W) | 0-1 L | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Napoli (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Inter Milan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
3-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
3-0 | 5-2 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/03 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Napoli (W) vs Inter Milan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Milan (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Napoli (W) 20%, draw 24%, Inter Milan (W) 57%.
How many goals are expected in Napoli (W) vs Inter Milan (W)?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Napoli (W) 1.04 · Inter Milan (W) 1.89), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Napoli (W) vs Inter Milan (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.