Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 23/07, 20:00

Prediction: Argentino de Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

Argentino de Rosario1.03

Puerto Nuevo0.88

1X2

38% 33% 29%

Argentino de Rosario Draw Puerto Nuevo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Argentino de Rosario 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLDDLD

Puerto Nuevo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Argentino de Rosario 2–2–2 Puerto Nuevo (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentino de Rosario 1474 · Puerto Nuevo 1517

	Argentino de Rosario	Draw	Puerto Nuevo
Our model	37%	34%	29%
Market	38%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Nuevo (rating 1474 vs 1517).
Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Argentino de Rosario	Puerto Nuevo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.9	5.7 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:06 +2’	2.35	2.80	3.00
21:04 +2’	2.60▲	2.80	2.70▼
22:05	2.35▼	2.80	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino de Rosario 2–2–2 Puerto Nuevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	1-1 HT 0-1	Argentino de Rosario
10/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	2-1 HT 0-0	Argentino de Rosario
08/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-1 HT 1-1	Puerto Nuevo
31/10/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-3 HT 0-1	Argentino de Rosario
18/07/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-2 HT 1-0	Puerto Nuevo
08/12/20 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	4-1 HT 0-1	Puerto Nuevo

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	19	10	4	5	24	14	34
2	Berazategui	19	8	8	3	23	14	32
3	Centro Espanol	19	8	6	5	26	17	30
4	Club Mercedes	20	7	8	5	21	11	29
5	CA Lugano	20	7	8	5	24	19	29
6	Puerto Nuevo	20	7	8	5	18	19	29
7	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	19	7	7	5	21	17	28
8	Victoriano Arenas	20	6	9	5	17	13	27
9	Club Leandro N. Alem	20	7	5	8	24	33	26
10	Juventud Unida San Miguel	19	5	7	7	18	19	22
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	20	5	7	8	15	21	22
12	JJ Urquiza	20	3	10	7	9	18	19
13	Argentino de Rosario	20	2	11	7	19	26	17
14	Deportivo Paraguayo	19	3	7	9	10	25	16

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Argentino de Rosario	Puerto Nuevo
CA Lugano	2-1 W	0-3 L
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-1 D	1-0 W
Berazategui	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Puerto Nuevo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Argentino de Rosario

DDDWLLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
04/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
28/06	Union de Arroyo Seco Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
27/06	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
15/06	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
06/06	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
30/05	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	7	12	D
24/05	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-2	1	11	D
17/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	10	D

Puerto Nuevo

LDWDWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
12/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
28/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	10	W
14/06	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
06/06	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/05	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
23/05	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
17/05	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
10/05	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	6	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentino de Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentino de Rosario win (38%). Probabilities: Argentino de Rosario 38%, draw 33%, Puerto Nuevo 29%.

How many goals are expected in Argentino de Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model expects 1.91 goals (Argentino de Rosario 1.03 · Puerto Nuevo 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentino de Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.