Prediction: AA Guarany vs Atletico Gloriense
Team pages: AA Guarany · Atletico Gloriense
- AA Guarany3-2Atletico Gloriense
| AA Guarany | Draw | Atletico Gloriense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AA Guarany | Atletico Gloriense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 6.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AA Guarany 1–0–0 Atletico Gloriense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | AA Guarany | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Gloriense |
Standings · Brazil Copa Sergipe
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico Gloriense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Desportiva Aracaju | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | America FC Propria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | AA Guarany | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AA Guarany | Atletico Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Falcon | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| AD Confianca | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Itabaiana | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Desportiva Aracaju | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| America FC Propria | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Lagarto | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CS Sergipe | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AA Guarany (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AA Guarany
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Falcon Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/02 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/01 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/01 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 22/01 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 17/01 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
Atletico Gloriense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 14/02 | Dorense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 07/02 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/01 | AA Guarany Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/01 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/01 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/01 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 11/01 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AA Guarany vs Atletico Gloriense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AA Guarany win (40%). Probabilities: AA Guarany 40%, draw 28%, Atletico Gloriense 32%.
How many goals are expected in AA Guarany vs Atletico Gloriense?
The model expects 2.54 goals (AA Guarany 1.36 · Atletico Gloriense 1.19), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AA Guarany vs Atletico Gloriense?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.