Prediction: Falcon vs America FC Propria
Team pages: Falcon · America FC Propria
- America FC Propria2-1Falcon
- Falcon0-1America FC Propria
- Falcon2-2America FC Propria
- Falcon0-0America FC Propria
- America FC Propria0-1Falcon
- Falcon4-1America FC Propria
| Falcon | Draw | America FC Propria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falcon (rating 1556 vs 1449).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falcon | America FC Propria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.7 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falcon 2–2–2 America FC Propria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | America FC Propria | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Falcon |
| 24/02/25 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Falcon | 0-1 HT 0-1 | America FC Propria |
| 21/02/24 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Falcon | 2-2 HT 0-1 | America FC Propria |
| 16/02/23 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Falcon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | America FC Propria |
| 19/03/22 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | America FC Propria | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Falcon |
| 05/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Falcon | 4-1 HT 1-1 | America FC Propria |
Standings · Brazil Copa Sergipe
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Desportiva Aracaju | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Atletico Gloriense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | AA Guarany | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 6 | America FC Propria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falcon | America FC Propria |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Gloriense | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Desportiva Aracaju | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Lagarto | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| AA Guarany | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Itabaiana | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Falcon (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falcon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Copa Sergipe |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/08 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Copa Sergipe |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Lagarto Brazil Copa Sergipe |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/07 | AA Guarany Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/02 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | AA Guarany Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/02 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 03/02 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 31/01 | Dorense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
America FC Propria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | AA Guarany Brazil Copa Sergipe |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Lagarto Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 01/03 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/02 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 22/02 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/02 | CEFAT Tirol Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 14/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falcon vs America FC Propria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Falcon win (81%). Probabilities: Falcon 81%, draw 13%, America FC Propria 6%.
How many goals are expected in Falcon vs America FC Propria?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Falcon 2.56 · America FC Propria 0.56), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Falcon vs America FC Propria?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.