Prediction: AA Guarany vs Desportiva Aracaju
Team pages: AA Guarany · Desportiva Aracaju
- AA Guarany2-1Desportiva Aracaju
| AA Guarany | Draw | Desportiva Aracaju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AA Guarany | Desportiva Aracaju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AA Guarany 1–0–0 Desportiva Aracaju
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | AA Guarany | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Desportiva Aracaju |
Standings · Brazil Copa Sergipe
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Desportiva Aracaju | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Atletico Gloriense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | AA Guarany | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 6 | America FC Propria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AA Guarany | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| America FC Propria | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Lagarto | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Gloriense | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Falcon | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Itabaiana | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Desportiva Aracaju (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AA Guarany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | America FC Propria Brazil Copa Sergipe |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lagarto Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Falcon Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/02 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/01 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
Desportiva Aracaju
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lagarto Brazil Copa Sergipe |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 06/08 | Falcon Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | America FC Propria Brazil Copa Sergipe |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 14/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/02 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/02 | AA Guarany Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/02 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/01 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/01 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AA Guarany vs Desportiva Aracaju?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Desportiva Aracaju win (48%). Probabilities: AA Guarany 26%, draw 27%, Desportiva Aracaju 48%.
How many goals are expected in AA Guarany vs Desportiva Aracaju?
The model expects 2.59 goals (AA Guarany 1.06 · Desportiva Aracaju 1.53), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AA Guarany vs Desportiva Aracaju?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.